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Man arrested for threatening FBI director Chris Wray online


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WASHINGTON — A Georgia man has been indicted for threatening FBI Director Christopher Wray on 4chan, an internet forum that is popular on the far-right.

John Woodbury, a 34-year-old from Roswell, Georgia, was arrested on Thursday after a federal grand jury indicted him earlier this month on one count of threats by interstate commerce and another count of threat to a federal law enforcement officer, according to the indictment against him. After his arrest, Woodbury was arraigned before U.S. Magistrate Judge Catherine M. Salinas.

“Let’s show them what a f—ing ‘Nazi’… looks like,” Woodbury allegedly wrote in a post on 4chan on June 7. “It’s time to burn these mother f—ers down and hang them from trees. Hit them where it f—ing hurts. Hit Chris at his home. Make his family fear stepping one foot outside their god damn door.”

Ryan K. Buchanan, U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Georgia, said in a press release on Thursday that threatening physical harm to a public official to “thwart the administration of justice” is a criminal offense.

“Director Wray and other law enforcement officials work tirelessly to safeguard our freedoms and to protect our citizens from harm,” Buchanan said. “Threats against such public servants, who have dedicated themselves to enforcing our criminal laws, is especially heinous. Our office will remain steadfast in helping to ensure that public officials are able to carry out their duties free from fear or intimidation.”

Court records do not yet indicate if Woodbury entered a plea, but criminal defendants almost always initially enter a not-guilty plea. It was not clear Thursday whether Woodbury had an attorney.

Michael Kosnar

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Fact check: Misleading post about Trump’s ear – DW – 07/16/2024


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In a viral post, an X user claims that Donald Trump “has zero damage from a bullet.” But the photo shared alongside the claim is old, and other photos do show an injury. A DW fact check.

Following the assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump at a campaign event for the 2024 election, a wave of misinformation has spread across social media platforms. One particular claim that has lately garnered significant attention is, that Trump was not injured at all in the incident. The claim is accompanied by a “recent photo” of him showing no ear injury. This fact check investigates the validity of this claim and the origin of the photo in question.

Claim: In this post (archived here) an X user claims: “This image of Trump was taken today. There is absolutely nothing wrong with his ear, and it has zero damage, FROM A BULLET. Everything about Trump is a con or a grift.” The post was published Tuesday and viewed more than 1.8 million times. Another post made a similar claim and received about 3.1 million views.

DW Fact check: False.

The photo circulating with the claim that Trump’s ear shows no damage is not recent, but rather from a past event. A search using the keywords “Trump picks JD Vance as vice president” led us to a picture from the Reuters archive that looks similar to the photo attached to the claim. A reverse image search confirms this. Using Google Lens, the original picture was identified as dated September 17, 2022.

A picture comparison shows that the photo from the viral X post is taken from this original photo from 2022. The photo shows former U.S. president Donald Trump listens as JD Vance speaks during a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, U.S., September 17, 2022. (photo: REUTERS/Gaelen Morse/File Photo)A picture comparison shows that the photo from the viral X post is taken from this original photo from 2022. Image: Gaelen Morse/REUTERS

The nearly 2-year-old picture was provided again by Reuters on July 15, but marked as an archive photo. Various media outlets and agencies used it in the coverage of JD Vance’s becoming Trump’s vice president, leading many to believe that it is a current picture.

The original REUTERS caption reads: “FILE PHOTO: Former U.S. president Donald Trump listens as JD Vance speaks during a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, U.S., September 17, 2022. REUTERS/Gaelen Morse/File Photo.” The shooting date and time according to camera data is: “17/09/2022 – 20:41:19.”

The image used in the false claim was cropped from the original picture, and its brightness was enhanced, as shown in the picture comparison.

Trump’s outfit in the 2022 photo and his dress at the current party convention are very similar, potentially adding to the confusion. However, Vance’s outfits in the two photos are different, further confirming the age of the image in the false claim.

Left: File photo of Trump listens as Vance speaks during a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, in September 17 2022. (REUTERS/Gaelen Morse/File Photo) Right: Trump and Vance interact during the RNC in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in July 15 2024. (REUTERS/Andrew Kelly)Left: File photo of Trump listens as Vance speaks during a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, in September 17 2022. Right: Trump and Vance interact during the RNC in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in July 15 2024. Image: Gaelen Morse/REUTERS | Andrew Kelly/REUTERS

In addition, numerous agency photos show Trump with a bandage on his right ear during his appearance at the Republican Party convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The 78-year-old took to the stage with a white bandage on his ear and was officially chosen as the candidate for the presidential election in November.

The claim that Trump’s ear is uninjured, and that the photo shown proves this, is therefore demonstrably false.

Edited by: M. Gagnon


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Feds told lawmakers Trump shooter sent an ominous social media post about attack day. Now they say it’s ‘fake’


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After briefing lawmakers on the social media footprint of Donald Trump’s would-be assassin, the FBI has reportedly backtracked on one account they’d tied to the shooter, saying it’s actually fake.

In a briefing call with Senate and House lawmakers on Wednesday, FBI and Secret Service officials shared new details about 20-year-old gunman Thomas Matthew Crooks and his movements in the lead-up to the shooting — including a chilling message left on the online gamer platform Steam.

“July 13 will be my premiere, watch as it unfolds,” read the post, lawmakers told mutliple outlets.

But now, a US official has said that the FBI now believes the account that the post came from to be fake.

The insider told CNN that authorities did believe the post was genuine when they shared the information but have since revised that assessment.

On July 13, Crooks headed to the site of Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, armed with an AR-15 his father had legally purchased.

After scaling the roof of a building just outside the security perimeter but only around 150 yards from the podium where the Republican presidential candidate took to the stage, Crooks opened fire.

Trump was struck in the ear before ducking behind the podium and being rushed by Secret Service agents, who threw their bodies over his.

Three rallygoers were also shot, one fatally.

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Crooks had been researching both Trump and President Joe Biden online prior to the attack and had images of the two rivals as well as other political figures including Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson, Democratic House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Trump ally Rudy Giuliani and Fulton County DA Fani Willis, the FBI officials revealed in the briefing.

The gunman’s two cellphones also revealed searches for the dates of Trump’s public events as well as for the Democratic National Convention in August, when the party will officially crown its presidential and vice presidential candidates.

He had also visited the rally site twice after it was announced — the second time being earlier on the day of the shooting.

While searches of his cellphones and the home he shared with his parents have revealed new information about the gunman, there is one major thing that investigators continue to be stumped by: his motive.

Crooks had no criminal history and was not known to law enforcement before Saturday.

Online records reveal that Crooks had been registered to vote as a Republican. However, federal campaign finance reports show that he had also made a $15 contribution to a Democratic-aligned political action committee called Progressive Turnout Project on January 20, 2021.

Former high school classmates described his views as “slightly right leaning” but couldn’t recall him ever speaking up with strong political views.

FBI officials reportedly told lawmakers that they hadn’t found any “political or ideological information” at the shooter’s home and that there were no signs that he had strong political views that contributed to the attack.

One potential line of investigation is focusing on the gunman’s mental health, with lawmakers confirming that he had searched for “major depressive disorder” on one of his cellphones.

The briefing came as calls mount from Republicans on Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle to quit over the agency’s response to the shooting, after it emerged that the gunman had been spotted by authorities multiple times at the rally site prior to the attack.

A staggering 20 minutes before the shooting, Secret Service snipers had laid eyes on the gunman on the rooftop, and lawmakers and officials told ABC News that Crooks was first identified as a person of interest at 5:10 p.m. — over an hour before the shooting unfolded.

Then, 20 minutes before he opened fire, Secret Service snipers had spotted him on the roof. Despits that, no action was taken until he fired his first shots toward the former president.

In an especially fiery exchange, Cheatle was confronted by GOP lawmakers on the floor of the RNC on Wednesday night demanding answers about what had gone wrong.

Testy footage, posted online by Tennessee Senator Marsha Blackburn , shows the group of senators grilling her and chasing her through the auditorium in Milwaukee.

“You put him within less than an inch of his life,” Wyoming Senator John Barrasso shouted at her.

“Resignation or full explanation.”

Cheatle, who has been called to testify before the House Oversight Committee on Monday, has admitted that the “buck stops with me” over the events that day but has so far refused to bow down to calls to resign.

Trump, who has described his survival as a “miracle” and claimed that it has given him a new focus to seek “unity” for the US, will give his first speech since the attempt on his life at the RNC on Thursday night.


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Israeli October 7 investigation finds Hamas planned massacre for nearly a decade – The Jewish Chronicle


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An ongoing investigation into the Israeli Military Intelligence’s role in the failures that led to the October 7 attacks found that Hamas had been planning the incursion for more than seven years, Israel’s Channel 12 reported on Wednesday.

The internal probe is exploring how IDF intelligence missed the warning signs of the impending assault by Palestinian terrorists for so long.

According to leaked information from the investigation, military intelligence was convinced that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was nearing an agreement with Israel to improve economic conditions in Gaza and solidify his control over the region. As reported by Channel 12, analysts had concluded that Hamas “is not seeking and does not have the ability” to go to war with Israel.

Analysts also reportedly disregarded the possibility that the terror group’s decision to sit out the previous round of fighting with Islamic Jihad could signal anything other than a sign it did not want conflict.

Then-commander of the Military Intelligence Directorate Aharon Haliva, who resigned in April after taking responsibility for the IDF’s failures to prevent the attacks, has received the latest probe, though it has not been finalised.

The IDF said in response to the report: “When the investigations are completed they will be presented in a transparent way to the public.”

Last week, the IDF released its probe into the battle at Kibbutz Be’eri on October 7, the first of its many investigations into the incidents that occurred on the day. Carried out by Maj. Gen. Mickey Edelstein, a former commander of the Gaza Division, the probe found numerous instances of security and IDF failures to warn members of the kibbutz of the impending attack and adequately protect them from terrorists.


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‘Putin and Netanyahu are betting on the Trump horse’


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While they may not dare to believe just yet, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are pinning their hopes on a surprise. On November 5, 2024, at the end of the US presidential election, they hope to celebrate the victory of Donald Trump. The two leaders know all too well who they would vote for, if they could.

The perspective of a second Trump administration is also the yardstick with which to measure international news and developments. The singularity of today’s crises – and part of their drama – lies in the possibility of a radically different American foreign policy for the future. The return of the apprentice Republican coup leader to the White House would have a major impact on the two wars currently underway. The fighting between Russia and Ukraine would be affected, as would Israel’s campaign against the Palestinian Islamic movement Hamas.

The Russian president has a friend in Trump, a thwarted autocrat. Openly jealous, the Florida golfer has already expressed his admiration for Putin’s kind of leadership. Separately, at the head of a right-wing majority, the Israeli prime minister is betting on Trump, who from 2016 to 2020 was the most anti-Palestinian president ever to occupy the White House.

Carte blanche to annex the West Bank

The Gaza war will last a year or more, according to Israeli sources cited by the Financial Times on December 1, 2023. Joe Biden is hoping to contain Netanyahu’s ambitions. According to Michel Duclos’ latest analysis for the Institut Montaigne, the US president intends to force limits on the Israeli army. The US has stated that subjecting southern Gaza to bombardments like those that ravaged the north and Gaza City, driving those in Gaza into Egypt, or Israel reoccupying the strip for any length of time are all out of the question.

After an interim phase, the Biden administration has put forward the scenario of a restored Palestinian Authority (under Fatah) in charge of administering the West Bank and Gaza. Fatah would only agree to this on the condition of the resumption of negotiations leading – one day – to the creation of a Palestinian state alongside Israel. On each of these points of the official US position, Biden has found himself at loggerheads with Netanyahu.

The US president is putting his credibility at stake in the Arab world, where he is strongly criticized for his unconditional support for Israel’s bombardment of Gaza. But it is also a matter of domestic politics with the US election so close. Weak in the polls largely due to his age, the Democratic candidate needs to project the image of a strong president abroad. Whether he will be a president capable of coercing Israel or bringing the hostages home remains to be seen.

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Families of Oct. 7 victims form civilian experts committee to begin probe into Oct. 7 massacre


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A committee of legal and security experts that will lead a civilian probe into the events of October 7 was announced Thursday by families of those killed on October 7, representatives from Kibbutzim that were attacked, and civil society groups.

The civilian inquiry committee will investigate the “events before October 7, which formed the foundation for the biggest security failure in the state’s history” and examine the failures of the military and political systems, it said.  

The civilian committee said it would investigate until a national committee is formed. It created the committee because no such state committee exists.

Just as civilians stepped in on October 7, the army and state were not there; they are stepping in to fill the need for a committee not met by the state, said a committee representative.

One of the primary goals of the civilian committee is to bring about the founding of a state committee, said committee member Maj.-Gen. (res.) Eyal Ben-Reuven.

Brother of slain hostage Alon Shamriz, Yonatan Shamriz at the announcement of a civilian probe of October 7 (credit: Israeli People’s Committee)

The announcement came one day after Israel’s coalition struck down a bill to fund a national investigation of the events leading up to October 7. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu repeated an argument in the Knesset plenum on Wednesday that an inquiry before the war is over would hamper Israel’s ability to defeat Hamas.

High court appoints independent committee

Israel’s Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said late last week that a state investigation is necessary. “This commission of inquiry should be objective; it should check all of us – the government, the army, and the security agencies. It needs to check me along with the prime minister and chief of staff,” Gallant said.

The High Court Chief Justice appoints a National Committee of Investigation and operates independently of the political echelon. In the past years, Netanyahu refrained from forming them over several issues, including the 2021 Meron disaster in which 45 men were crushed to death.  

Committee head Judge Emeritus Gideon Ginat, who has served on the district courts in Tel Aviv, Nazareth, Jerusalem, and Haifa, said an inquiry is necessary as soon as possible.

Ben-Reuven, who has worked in Israel Aerospace Industries and security consulting since retiring from the IDF, echoed this sentiment, saying that the facts will naturally blur over time.

Kibbutz Beeri representative Alon Pauker welcomed the IDF probe into what happened at Beeri on October 7 but said that it addressed a micro question. The more macro questions of who is responsible for October 7, the state’s response must also be addressed.

He also touched on the need to form a committee immediately, saying that it is necessary to examine ongoing failings.

“As we have learned since October 7, when the state is not there, civilians are called to the flag,” he said. “If the government doesn’t want to investigate, we will investigate.”

A national probe of the Yom Kippur war began less than a month after the outbreak of the war, said Yonatan Shamriz, brother of Alon Shamriz, who was taken captive and killed along with two other hostages in Gaza by IDF forces when he escaped his Hamas captors.

Shamriz alluded to possible political motivations preventing the founding of a state inquiry, saying that a committee’s foundation would be brave and that brave leaders make brave choices even if they might hurt their careers.

Hila Abir, a representative of the families of those murdered at parties in Israel’s south on the 7th, called on Israel’s leadership not to make scapegoats out of the fighters in the field on the day of the massacre.

She added that the IDF probes are focused on how forces acted on the scene that day rather than on why forces didn’t make it to many attack sites.

Eyal Eshel, father of slain IDF observer Roni Eshel, wondered how he could let his daughter Yael join the IDF in three months when he had zero trust in the army or the state.

He asked how Israel’s political and senior military echelon are not ashamed and how it could be that they have not taken responsibility for failings leading up to and on October 7, hoped that at least some of the leadership was ashamed that civilians were taking over the probe following the state’s failure to investigate. “The least of what we deserve are answers,” he said.

Additional committee members include Professor Asa Kasher, lead author of the IDF’s code of ethics; Brig.-Gen. (res.) Yehudit Grisaro; former Beit She’an mayor and intelligence officer Rafi Ben-Sheetrit; and former Police Commissioner Shlomo Aharonishki.

The committee will convene thrice weekly and work for as long as necessary. However, they hope to present their findings by the year’s mark of October 7. They called on the public to submit their testimony to the committee, urging anyone with information to contact them via email or WhatsApp.

You can submit testimony to the committee using their email: havaada7.10@gmail.com

Eliav Breuer and Jerusalem Post Staff contributed to this report.


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Israeli army acknowledges Oct. 7 failures, including slow response and disorganization


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JERUSALEM (AP) — The Israeli military on Thursday acknowledged a string of errors in its response to the deadly Hamas attacks last Oct. 7, including slow response times and disorganization, as it released the results of its first investigation into failures during the assault that triggered the war in Gaza.

The report focused on the border community of Be’eri, where over 100 people were killed and more than 30 others taken hostage by Hamas. It was among the hardest-hit communities in the early morning attack, and it was the scene of one of the highest-profile confrontations of Oct. 7 – a standoff in which militants held a group of hostages inside a home.

“The army failed in its mission to protect the residents of Kibbutz Be’eri,” the military’s chief spokesman, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, said in a televised address. “It is painful and difficult for me to say that.”

During the standoff, a tank fired at the home, raising concerns that the 13 hostages inside were killed by friendly fire. The military concluded that they were likely killed by Hamas militants, not Israeli shelling, though it was unclear how it reached that conclusion, and the report called for additional tests. The army said the kibbutz was overrun by about 340 Hamas fighters.

Investigators “determined that, based on the information reviewed and to the best of their understanding, no civilians inside the building were harmed by tank shell fire,” the report said, though it said two Israeli civilians were hit by shrapnel outside the building. One of those civilians died, according to the man’s wife.

It also said commanders on the scene made “professional and responsible decisions” in ordering the tank strike. It said there had been a joint decision by various commanders after hearing gunshots within the house and militants saying they planned to kill the hostages and commit suicide.

“The team determined that most of the hostages were likely murdered by the terrorists,” the report said.

The report also pointed to delays of several hours in the arrival of military forces and said forces waited outside the kibbutz into the afternoon as residents were being killed, not understanding the severity of the situation.

“This situation is extremely grave and cannot occur,” it said.

The report praised “the bravery of the Be’eri residents and the members of the kibbutz’s civilian rapid response team,” saying it was “crucial in stabilizing the defensive line during the first hours of combat.”

The Israeli army has come under heavy criticism from Palestinians and human rights groups, who say its investigations rarely result in punishment.

Kibbutz residents gave the report a mixed reception, expressing anger over the army’s failures that day but also appreciation that it took responsibility.

Meir Zarbiv, a resident whose brother and sister were both killed on Oct. 7, called the report a “deception” by the army. “I don’t believe the report, and I don’t believe anything about it,” he said.

He said he still cannot understand the delays in arriving and entering the kibbutz. “I just don’t believe what happened here. I have no explanation,” he said. “Where was the army?”

In a statement, the community called the investigation “thorough” and said it helped them understand the complexity of the fighting that day.

“We see great importance in the army accepting the blame and responsibility for its complete failure to protect us and in asking for forgiveness for abandoning us for many hours during an attack of unmatched evil,” it said.

The kibbutz also called for an official state commission of inquiry into the broader failures of Oct. 7 “so the unimaginable loss we experienced will never against be experienced by any other citizen.”

The surprise cross-border raid killed some 1,200 people, most of them civilians, and took 250 others hostage, in the deadliest attack in Israel’s 76-year history. The attack, in which several thousand militants stormed across the border without resistance, revealed grave shortcomings in the army’s readiness, its intelligence assessments and policies set by political leaders toward Gaza.

An Israeli offensive launched in response to the attack has killed over 38,000 Palestinians, according to local health authorities, displaced over 80% of the territory’s people and triggered a humanitarian disaster in Gaza. Israel is now facing war crimes and genocide allegations in international courts.

The army has launched multiple investigations into the failures of Oct. 7, and the head of military intelligence has resigned. Several other commanders have apologized and taken responsibility for their failures.

But Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rejected repeated calls for an official state investigation, even as the war enters its 10th month.

Netanyahu has said an investigation cannot be conducted while the country is focused on its war against Hamas and says all questions will be answered at the appropriate time. But critics accuse the Israeli leader of dragging his feet to avoid what will almost certainly be harsh criticism of his policies and leadership.

At a military ceremony Thursday, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said the time has come to launch a state commission of inquiry to look into the country’s leadership. “It needs to check me, the minister of defense. It needs to check the prime minister.”

In the face of fierce international criticism, Netanyahu has vowed to continue the war until destroying Hamas’ military and governing capabilities and the roughly 120 hostages remaining in Gaza return home. Tens of thousands of Israelis have taken to the streets in weekly protests calling on Netanyahu to reach an immediate cease-fire, saying time is running out to bring the hostages home safely.

International mediators have launched renewed efforts to broker a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas.

Netanyahu announced Thursday that he would send a team of negotiators to Cairo to continue cease-fire talks, but he reiterated his stance that he will not halt the war until Israel achieves its war objectives.

He was interrupted by hecklers at the same military ceremony when he vowed to continue the war “until victory, even if it takes time.”

As he spoke, a small crowd began to chant “shame.”

___

Associated Press writers Tia Goldenberg and Isaac Scharf contributed to this report.


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N12 – חשיפה: ממצאי אמ”ן מתחקיר הטבח


nir_logo.jpg ניר דבורי | המהדורה המרכזית | פורסם 17/07/24 20:44 | עודכן 18/07/24 00:23

אהרון חליוה והפריצה לגדר ביום הטבח (צילום: דובר צה"ל) ראש אמ”ן, אלוף אהרון חליוה. ארכיון | צילום: דובר צה”ל

תחקירי אסון 7 באוקטובר: לאחר תחקיר הקרב בבארי, אמש (רביעי) פרסמנו לראשונה ב”מהדורה המרכזית” את התחקיר הפנימי באגף המודיעין, שמכונה “הדרך אל המלחמה”, על השאלה המרכזית: כיצד כל הסימנים המעידים חמקו מתחת לרדאר וההתרעות שהיו לא טופלו. 

תחקירי 7 באוקטובר – סיקור N12

התחקיר של אגף המודיעין בצה”ל מנסה לברר כיצד התרחש המחדל המודיעיני הגדול בתולדות מדינת ישראל – וכיצד החוקרים ואנשי קהיליית המודיעין לא ראו את המתקפה שחמאס מתכנן. בחיל התקיימו דיונים נוקבים, שאף לעיתים לוו בהרמת קול, על הפרשנות של ממצאי התחקיר. 

לפי ממצאי התחקיר, תכנון המתקפה של חמאס החל לפני 7 או 8 שנים על ידי חמאס, אך אגף המודיעין פספס את הסימנים המקדימים. באמ”ן הניחו שחמאס מורתע מישראל ופניו של מנהיג הארגון, יחיא סינוואר, להסדרה – שיפור המצב הכלכלי של תושבי הרצועה תוך ביסוס מעמדו הריבוני ברצועה.למעשה, חוקרי המודיעין היו שקועים בקונספציה שחמאס “לא רוצה ולא יכול” לצאת למלחמה נגד ישראל.

עיקרי ממצאי התחקיר

  • גורמי המודיעין פספסו את הסימנים המקדימים, הניחו שחמאס מורתע ופניו של סינוואר להסדרה.
  • פער במשך שנים בין הידיעות שנאספו לניתוח שלהן על ידי חוקרי אגף המודיעין.
  • הפרשנות שלפיה חמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה באגף המודיעין.

בנוסף, בתחקיר הפנימי עלה כי הפרשנות לכך שחמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה לחלוטין על ידי חוקרי המודיעין. למרות שהיו חוקרים שחשבו כך, ואף טענו שחמאס צריך את הכסף הקטארי לתכנון המתקפה, הם הצטרפו לבסוף לקונספציה ולדעה הרווחת בחיל. 

ראש אמ”ן, אהרון חליוה, קיבל את הקביעות שעלו בתחקיר. עם זאת, גם עכשיו אגף המודיעין לא יודע לקבוע בוודאות כיצד ניתן למנוע מקרים כאלו בעתיד ובחיל מקיימים בימים אלו דיונים כדי להבין את המשמעויות העמוקות שצריך להסיק כדי שאירוע כזה לא יתרחש בעתיד.

דובר צה”ל: “כשיסתיימו התחקירים, הם יוצגו בצורה שקופה לציבור”.

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N12 – חשיפה: ממצאי אמ”ן מתחקיר הטבח


nir_logo.jpg ניר דבורי | המהדורה המרכזית | פורסם 17/07/24 20:44 | עודכן 18/07/24 00:23

אהרון חליוה והפריצה לגדר ביום הטבח (צילום: דובר צה"ל) ראש אמ”ן, אלוף אהרון חליוה. ארכיון | צילום: דובר צה”ל

תחקירי אסון 7 באוקטובר: לאחר תחקיר הקרב בבארי, אמש (רביעי) פרסמנו לראשונה ב”מהדורה המרכזית” את התחקיר הפנימי באגף המודיעין, שמכונה “הדרך אל המלחמה”, על השאלה המרכזית: כיצד כל הסימנים המעידים חמקו מתחת לרדאר וההתרעות שהיו לא טופלו. 

תחקירי 7 באוקטובר – סיקור N12

התחקיר של אגף המודיעין בצה”ל מנסה לברר כיצד התרחש המחדל המודיעיני הגדול בתולדות מדינת ישראל – וכיצד החוקרים ואנשי קהיליית המודיעין לא ראו את המתקפה שחמאס מתכנן. בחיל התקיימו דיונים נוקבים, שאף לעיתים לוו בהרמת קול, על הפרשנות של ממצאי התחקיר. 

לפי ממצאי התחקיר, תכנון המתקפה של חמאס החל לפני 7 או 8 שנים על ידי חמאס, אך אגף המודיעין פספס את הסימנים המקדימים. באמ”ן הניחו שחמאס מורתע מישראל ופניו של מנהיג הארגון, יחיא סינוואר, להסדרה – שיפור המצב הכלכלי של תושבי הרצועה תוך ביסוס מעמדו הריבוני ברצועה.למעשה, חוקרי המודיעין היו שקועים בקונספציה שחמאס “לא רוצה ולא יכול” לצאת למלחמה נגד ישראל.

עיקרי ממצאי התחקיר

  • גורמי המודיעין פספסו את הסימנים המקדימים, הניחו שחמאס מורתע ופניו של סינוואר להסדרה.
  • פער במשך שנים בין הידיעות שנאספו לניתוח שלהן על ידי חוקרי אגף המודיעין.
  • הפרשנות שלפיה חמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה באגף המודיעין.

בנוסף, בתחקיר הפנימי עלה כי הפרשנות לכך שחמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה לחלוטין על ידי חוקרי המודיעין. למרות שהיו חוקרים שחשבו כך, ואף טענו שחמאס צריך את הכסף הקטארי לתכנון המתקפה, הם הצטרפו לבסוף לקונספציה ולדעה הרווחת בחיל. 

ראש אמ”ן, אהרון חליוה, קיבל את הקביעות שעלו בתחקיר. עם זאת, גם עכשיו אגף המודיעין לא יודע לקבוע בוודאות כיצד ניתן למנוע מקרים כאלו בעתיד ובחיל מקיימים בימים אלו דיונים כדי להבין את המשמעויות העמוקות שצריך להסיק כדי שאירוע כזה לא יתרחש בעתיד.

דובר צה”ל: “כשיסתיימו התחקירים, הם יוצגו בצורה שקופה לציבור”.

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N12 – חשיפה: ממצאי אמ”ן מתחקיר הטבח


nir_logo.jpg ניר דבורי | המהדורה המרכזית | פורסם 17/07/24 20:44 | עודכן 18/07/24 00:23

אהרון חליוה והפריצה לגדר ביום הטבח (צילום: דובר צה"ל) ראש אמ”ן, אלוף אהרון חליוה. ארכיון | צילום: דובר צה”ל

תחקירי אסון 7 באוקטובר: לאחר תחקיר הקרב בבארי, אמש (רביעי) פרסמנו לראשונה ב”מהדורה המרכזית” את התחקיר הפנימי באגף המודיעין, שמכונה “הדרך אל המלחמה”, על השאלה המרכזית: כיצד כל הסימנים המעידים חמקו מתחת לרדאר וההתרעות שהיו לא טופלו. 

תחקירי 7 באוקטובר – סיקור N12

התחקיר של אגף המודיעין בצה”ל מנסה לברר כיצד התרחש המחדל המודיעיני הגדול בתולדות מדינת ישראל – וכיצד החוקרים ואנשי קהיליית המודיעין לא ראו את המתקפה שחמאס מתכנן. בחיל התקיימו דיונים נוקבים, שאף לעיתים לוו בהרמת קול, על הפרשנות של ממצאי התחקיר. 

לפי ממצאי התחקיר, תכנון המתקפה של חמאס החל לפני 7 או 8 שנים על ידי חמאס, אך אגף המודיעין פספס את הסימנים המקדימים. באמ”ן הניחו שחמאס מורתע מישראל ופניו של מנהיג הארגון, יחיא סינוואר, להסדרה – שיפור המצב הכלכלי של תושבי הרצועה תוך ביסוס מעמדו הריבוני ברצועה.למעשה, חוקרי המודיעין היו שקועים בקונספציה שחמאס “לא רוצה ולא יכול” לצאת למלחמה נגד ישראל.

עיקרי ממצאי התחקיר

  • גורמי המודיעין פספסו את הסימנים המקדימים, הניחו שחמאס מורתע ופניו של סינוואר להסדרה.
  • פער במשך שנים בין הידיעות שנאספו לניתוח שלהן על ידי חוקרי אגף המודיעין.
  • הפרשנות שלפיה חמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה באגף המודיעין.

בנוסף, בתחקיר הפנימי עלה כי הפרשנות לכך שחמאס נמנע מלהשתתף בשני העימותים שקדמו ל-7 באוקטובר כי הוא מתכנן מלחמה – נזנחה לחלוטין על ידי חוקרי המודיעין. למרות שהיו חוקרים שחשבו כך, ואף טענו שחמאס צריך את הכסף הקטארי לתכנון המתקפה, הם הצטרפו לבסוף לקונספציה ולדעה הרווחת בחיל. 

ראש אמ”ן, אהרון חליוה, קיבל את הקביעות שעלו בתחקיר. עם זאת, גם עכשיו אגף המודיעין לא יודע לקבוע בוודאות כיצד ניתן למנוע מקרים כאלו בעתיד ובחיל מקיימים בימים אלו דיונים כדי להבין את המשמעויות העמוקות שצריך להסיק כדי שאירוע כזה לא יתרחש בעתיד.

דובר צה”ל: “כשיסתיימו התחקירים, הם יוצגו בצורה שקופה לציבור”.

מצאתם טעות לשון?