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Ukraine Political Shakeup: Mudra, Fedorov


Ukraine Political Shakeup: Mudra, Fedorov


Here is an analytical breakdown of the recent structural shifts within Ukraine’s government, focusing on the dismissals of Mykhailo Fedorov and Iryna Mudra and their implications for the country’s security and political apparatus.


The Ousting of Mykhailo Fedorov

Mykhailo Fedorov was dismissed from his position as Minister of Defense in mid-July 2026 after a six-month tenure, as reported by Defense News. Known as a digitally savvy modernizer, Fedorov was heavily credited with integrating innovative open-source and drone technologies into the military and pushing for structural budget reforms.


  • The Public Fallout: His sudden removal sparked significant street protests in Kyiv. Supporters and defense analysts argued that his departure could slow ongoing defense technology procurement and military modernization efforts, according to coverage by PBS News.


  • Call for Elections: On August 18, 2026, Fedorov released a video address directly challenging President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by breaking a wartime taboo and calling for presidential elections. According to The Guardian, Fedorov argued that democracy cannot be sidelined by the conflict and criticized government appointments based on personal loyalty over structural professionalism.


  • Defense Succession: Following Fedorov’s departure, lawmakers approved the appointment of Maj. Gen. Yevhenii Khmara—a former special operations expert and acting head of the state’s security service—as the new Minister of Defense.


The Dismissal of Iryna Mudra

The political shakeup extended into the presidential administration with the dismissal of Iryna Mudra, the deputy head of the presidential office.


  • Anti-Corruption Probe: According to Euractiv, Mudra’s dismissal occurred as a major anti-graft investigation reached senior figures in the Ukrainian political establishment. Authorities reportedly searched several locations linked to her, though they have not formally named her as a suspect.


  • Broader Context: Her removal coincided with the broader cabinet reshuffle. GV Wire noted that anti-corruption authorities announced charges related to an alleged $3 million money-laundering scheme involving a deputy chief of Zelenskyy’s office just hours before the new defense minister was formally appointed.


These dual developments represent a complex stress test for Ukraine’s wartime leadership apparatus, as the government attempts to balance strict anti-corruption oversight with the operational continuity of its defense technology and military structures. 


Here is your daily briefing, focusing on key global security dynamics, geopolitical shifts, and major domestic developments.


Global Security & Geopolitical Developments

  • U.S.-Iran Economic Tensions Escalate: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi publicly dismissed recent threats of “crushing economic measures” from the U.S. administration. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned of secondary sanctions targeting nations and companies that continue to do business with Iran, signaling an attempt at unprecedented economic isolation.


  • Major Drone Offensive on Russian Territory: Ukraine launched a massive wave of nearly 800 domestically produced long-range drones targeting multiple Russian regions, including Moscow. While Russian air defenses intercepted a large number of them, the operation marks one of the most significant attacks since the summer began. In a separate incident, a Russian missile strike on a village in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region killed 10 civilians.


  • North Korean Missile Barrage: North Korea fired a series of ballistic missiles into the sea on Thursday, reportedly dismissing recent diplomatic overtures from Washington.


  • West Bank Settlements: European nations and Canada have issued condemnations regarding Israeli plans for new settlements in the West Bank.


U.S. Politics & Domestic Affairs

  • California Special Election Concludes: State lawmaker Aisha Wahab won the California special election to fill the House seat vacated by former Representative Eric Swalwell, overcoming significant outside spending.


  • Ex-Rep. Swalwell Investigated: Federal agents recently raided the home of former U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell in connection with an ongoing sexual misconduct probe.


  • FBI Headquarters Relocation Halted: A federal judge has blocked the current administration’s attempt to move the FBI headquarters out of Maryland and into a Washington D.C. office building.


  • National Debt Approaches $40 Trillion: The U.S. national debt is nearing the $40 trillion threshold, renewing debates in Washington over borrowing, spending, and economic stability.


Health & Science

  • Ebola Response in Central Africa: The Democratic Republic of the Congo is preparing to receive 70,000 doses of the Ervebo vaccine to combat a deadly surge in Ebola infections.


  • Melanoma Vaccine Breakthrough: A landmark clinical trial has demonstrated that a new cancer vaccine is highly effective at preventing deadly melanoma from returning or spreading.

Israel quiet over 'hotline' with Russia on Syria

Israel quiet over ‘hotline’ with Russia on Syria

It speaks volumes that Russia, rather than Israel, has been going public with details of a “hotline” and joint air exercises they have launched to avoid an accidental clash in the skies over Syria.
The Russia Exception

The Russia Exception

Israel’s relationship with Vladimir Putin survived Ukraine, Syria, and Oct. 7. But is it now quietly coming undone?

The Russia Exception

When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy briefly spoke to each other at the funeral of Sen. Lindsey Graham on Tuesday, ahead of their separate meetings with President Donald Trump, the conversation was reportedly cordial. The men smiled and shook han
US suggests Russian elections neither free nor fair

US suggests Russian elections neither free nor fair

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton suggested Russia’s elections were neither free nor fair as she made a broad plea on Tuesday for digital freedoms at a European security gathering.
Treasury Targets Actors Involved in Production and Transfer of Iranian Unmanned Aerial Vehicles to Russia for Use in Ukraine

Treasury Targets Actors Involved in Production and Transfer of Iranian Unmanned Aerial Vehicles to Russia for Use in Ukraine

WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is sanctioning firms involved in the production or ongoing transfer to Russia of Iranian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), which Russia has used in devastating attacks against civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. OFAC is designating Shahed Aviation Industries Research Center, the firm responsible for the design and production of Shahed-series UAVs being used by Russian forces in Ukraine. OFAC is also targeting Success Aviation Services FZC and i Jet Global DMCC for facilitating the transfer of Iranian UAVs to Russia. The U.S. Department of State is concurrently designating Russian Private Military Company “Wagner” (PMC Wagner) and Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Force (IRGC ASF) and Qods Aviation Industries pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 14024. To supplement the U.S. Department of State’s designation of PMC Wagner, OFAC is also designating two individuals for facilitating PMC Wagner’s acquisition of UAVs from Iran, Abbas Djuma and Tigran Khristoforovich Srabionov. “As we have demonstrated repeatedly, the United States is determined to sanction people and companies, no matter where they are located, that support Russia’s unjustified invasion of Ukraine. Today’s action exposes and holds accountable companies and individuals that have enabled Russia’s use of Iranian-built UAVs to brutalize Ukrainian civilians,” said Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen. “This is part of our larger effort to disrupt Russia’s war effort and deny the equipment it needs through sanctions and export controls.” Today’s action is being taken pursuant to E.O. 13382 and E.O. 14024 and follows OFAC’s September 8, 2022 designation of an Iranian air transportation service provider involved in the shipment of Iranian UAVs to Russia, as well as three companies and one individual involved in the research, development, production, and procurement of Iranian UAVs and UAV components for Iran’s IRGC and its Aerospace Force (IRGC ASF) and Navy. This also follows the October 20, 2022 decision by the European Union to impose sanctions on three Iranian military leaders and Shahed Aviation Industries Research Center for their role in the development and delivery of UAVs used by Russia in its war against Ukraine. Today’s actions implement commitments to target international actors involved in supporting Russia’s war machine, as highlighted by OFAC Frequently Asked Questions 1091 and 1092 and reinforced by an October 14, 2022 meeting of senior officials in Washington representing ministries of finance and other government agencies from 33 countries, in which the participants acknowledged the significance of sanctions actions taken so far and discussed additional steps to further impair Russia’s military-industrial complex and critical defense supply chains.  The Departments of the Treasury, Commerce, and State released an alert on that same day detailing the impact of international sanctions and export controls to date. Read the joint alert here. Iranian UAV Producer Shahed Aviation Industries Research Center (SAIRC), subordinate to the IRGC ASF, has designed and manufactured several Shahed-series UAV variants, including the Shahed-136 one-way attack UAV that Russian forces have used in recent attacks targeting civilian infrastructure in Kyiv, Odesa, and the Kharkiv region of Ukraine. SAIRC also developed the Shahed-129 medium-altitude reconnaissance and strike UAV for the IRGC ASF, and it is the lead contractor for the IRGC ASF’s Shahed-171 project. SAIRC is being designated pursuant to E.O. 13382 for having provided, or attempted to provide, financial, material, technological or other support for, or goods or services in support of, the IRGC ASF. The IRGC ASF, also known as the IRGC Air Force, was designated pursuant to E.O. 13382 on June 16, 2010 as a key element in the operational deployment of Iran’s ballistic missile capability. Shipment of Iranian UAVs to Russia UAE-based air transportation firms Success Aviation Services FZC (Success Aviation) and i Jet Global DMCC (iJet) collaborated with U.S.-sanctioned Iranian firm Safiran Airport Services (Safiran) to coordinate flights between Iran and Russia, including those associated with transporting Iranian UAVs, personnel, and related equipment from Iran to Russia. The actions against the UAE-based targets are being taken in cooperation with the UAE government.  Success Aviation continues to cooperate with Safiran even after the latter’s designation, including to facilitate travel between Russia and Iran. iJet also continues to work with Safiran to coordinate Russian Air Force flights between Iran and Russia despite Safiran’s designation and exposure. Safiran was designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 on September 8, 2022 for being owned or controlled by, or having acted or purported to act for or on behalf of, directly or indirectly, the Government of the Russian Federation (GoR). iJet has also worked with U.S.-sanctioned, Syria-based Cham Wings Airlines (Cham Wings). iJet has allegedly used its branch in Syria, known as Trade Med Middle East, to assist Cham Wings in facilitating the transport of Syrian fighters to Russia. Cham Wings was designated pursuant to E.O. 13582 on December 23, 2016 for having materially assisted, sponsored, or provided financial, material or technological support for, or goods or services in support of, the Government of Syria and Syrian Arab Airlines, a U.S.-designated airline that Iran’s IRGC-Qods Force has used to transfer illicit cargo to Syria.  Success Aviation and iJet are being designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 for being owned or controlled by, or for having acted or purported to act for or on behalf of, directly or indirectly, the GoR. PMC Wagner Facilitators PMC Wagner is a Russian private military company with ties to the Russian government that has been used to engage in conflicts on the Russian government’s behalf around the world. PMC Wagner was previously designated pursuant to E.O. 13660 in 2017 for being responsible for or complicit in, or having engaged in, directly or indirectly, actions or policies that threaten the peace, security, stability, sovereignty, or territorial integrity of Ukraine. The European Union, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and Japan have also sanctioned PMC Wagner. The State Department today is concurrently designating PMC Wagner pursuant to E.O. 14024 for operating or having operated in the defense and related materiel sector of the Russian Federation economy. In coordination with the State Department’s redesignation of PMC Wagner, OFAC is taking action against individuals facilitating the movement of Iranian UAVs to Russia.  Abbas Djuma (Djuma) and Tigran Khristoforovich Srabionov (Srabionov) were involved in PMC Wagner’s acquisition of Iranian UAVs to support combat operations in Ukraine. Djuma is being designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 for having materially assisted, sponsored, or provided financial, material, or technological support for, or goods and services to or in support of, PMC Wagner. Srabionov is being designated pursuant to E.O. 14024 for having acted or purported to act for or on behalf of, directly or indirectly, PMC Wagner.   Sanctions Implications As a result of today’s action, all property and interests in property of the individuals and entities that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons must be blocked and reported to OFAC. OFAC sanctions generally prohibit all dealings by U.S. persons or within the United States (including transactions transiting the United States) that involve any property or interests in property of blocked or designated persons. In addition, persons that engage in certain transactions with the individuals or entities designated today may themselves be exposed to sanctions. Furthermore, any foreign financial institution that knowingly facilitates a significant transaction or provides significant financial services for any of the individuals or entities designated today pursuant to E.O. 13382 could be subject to U.S. sanctions. The power and integrity of OFAC sanctions derive not only from OFAC’s ability to designate and add persons to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List (SDN List) but also from its willingness to remove persons from the SDN List consistent with the law. The ultimate goal of sanctions is not to punish but to bring about a positive change in behavior. For information concerning the process for seeking removal from an OFAC list, including the SDN List, please refer to OFAC’s FAQ 897.   Click here for identifying information on the individuals and entities designated today.   ###

Ukraine’s Conscription Crisis

Ukraine’s Conscription Crisis Get link Facebook X Pinterest Email Other Apps Michael Novakhov (Mike Nova) Ukraine’s Conscription Crisis and Reforms Prompt: Ukrainian Conscription Clashes: Internally, Ukraine is dealing with growing domes

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Ukraine’s Conscription Crisis


Ukraine’s Conscription Crisis and Reforms

Prompt: 
Ukrainian Conscription Clashes: Internally, Ukraine is dealing with growing domestic friction. Violent clashes between citizens and forcible military recruitment officers have tripled, prompting the recently appointed Ukrainian Defense Minister, Yevheni Kamar, to vow reforms to the mobilization system
Gemini: 
You’ve captured the core reality of a very tense situation in Ukraine right now, though there is a slight mix-up with the minister’s name. Here is a breakdown of the facts on the ground:

The Conscription Crisis

Ukraine is indeed facing significant domestic friction regarding its mobilization efforts. There are widespread reports and documented instances of physical altercations between civilians and military recruitment officers. While the specific statistic that these clashes have “tripled” is difficult to independently verify, the tension is undeniably high. In recent months, public frustration has been fueled by heavy-handed recruitment tactics and the expansion of the draft.

Leadership Shakeup

The new Ukrainian Defense Minister is Yevhenii Khmara (not Yevheni Kamar). A former head of the Security Service of Ukraine’s (SBU) Alpha Group, Khmara was formally appointed by the Ukrainian parliament on August 19, 2026, after serving in an acting capacity since mid-July. He replaced Mykhailo Fedorov, whose controversial dismissal previously sparked public protests over the direction of the country’s military leadership.

Promised Reforms

Addressing the parliament upon his confirmation, Khmara did speak to the mobilization system, emphasizing that it requires a “comprehensive decision” rather than quick fixes. His outlined approach focuses on:

  • Troop Dignity: Improving the conditions under which soldiers serve, train, carry out missions, and recover.

  • Systemic Planning: Tying future mobilization plans directly to a broader, overarching war plan being developed alongside Commander-in-Chief Mykhailo Drapatyi.

  • Transparency: Reducing bureaucracy so that procurement and support serve the frontlines efficiently.

This broadcast provides live reporting from Kyiv as the parliament formally approved Yevhenii Khmara’s appointment amid the ongoing military and political challenges.
AI Mode: 
Violent domestic clashes over forcible military recruitment have drastically risen in Ukraine, leading to more than 500 official probes into the obstruction of army activities in the first half of 2026 alone—well over double the 200 cases filed during the same window last year. [1]
This friction escalated heavily across the country due to aggressive draft tactics, colloquially termed “busification,” which involve recruitment officers forcing men into vans off public streets. High-profile public revolts have erupted in response, including a massive confrontation in Lviv where a crowd of hundreds surrounded and overturned a military conscription vehicle, and a standoff in Vinnytsia where citizens tried to breach a stadium to free mobilized men. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

Minister Khmara’s Stance and Proposed Reforms

Amidst this domestic turmoil and a wider political shake-up, Ukraine’s parliament officially confirmed Yevhenii Khmara (frequently transliterated as Kamar or Khmara) as the new Minister of Defense on August 19, 2026. A former Major General and head of the Security Service of Ukraine’s (SBU) elite Alpha unit, Khmara formally transitioned to a civilian status to accept the role. [6, 7, 8, 9]
Addressing parliament regarding the mobilization crisis, Khmara vowed a systematic overhaul rooted in the following core principles: [10]
  • Personnel Support First: He stressed that treating troops with dignity, ensuring proper combat conditions, adequate equipment, and thorough training must happen before executing a mobilization plan. [10]
  • Comprehensive War Plan Alignment: Khmara stated that the mobilization numbers and strategies will depend entirely on a broader, synchronized war plan currently being developed alongside Commander-in-Chief Mykhailo Drapatyi. [10]
  • Technological Asymmetry: Rather than relying purely on mass personnel drafts, his agenda prioritizes expanding unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), robotic systems, and technological strikes to reduce human exposure on the front lines. [9, 11]

Domestic and European Repercussions

The conscription friction is triggering wider geopolitical and political ripples:
  • Political Turmoil: Khmara’s appointment followed the highly controversial ouster of his predecessor, Mykhailo Fedorov. Fedorov has since challenged the administration publicly, warning of a “crisis of governance” and calling for wartime elections. [8, 12, 13]
  • Workforce and Social Shortages: Millions of Ukrainian men are estimated to be evading the draft system, leading to acute workplace shortages and deep internal societal divisions. [14, 15]
  • European Union Policy Shifts: Due to the draft evasion crisis, the European Union has debated adjustments to its Temporary Protection Directive. Member states like Germany and Poland are considering limits on automatic residency protections for newly arriving Ukrainian men aged 23 to 60 to support Kyiv’s ability to retain military-age personnel. [16]

In Ukraine, forcible military recruitment efforts escalate into violence

Anton was walking home with a friend in Kyiv when he was suddenly seized and forced into the back seat of a police car, with an officer on each side, heading towards a future that would likely see him in the trenches.The 52-year-old, who requested to withhold his surname to protect his identity, has

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Shared Links – Audio Posts: Russian missile barrage kills at least 13 people in Ukraine’s Kyiv – AP … Russia launches deadly missile and drone attacks on Kyiv … Kaliningrad under the pressure of war … NATO High-Tech Aircraft Surge Near Kaliningrad and the Black Sea


Shared Links – Audio Posts: Russian missile barrage kills at least 13 people in Ukraine’s Kyiv – AP … Russia launches deadly missile and drone attacks on Kyiv … Kaliningrad under the pressure of war … NATO High-Tech Aircraft Surge Near Kaliningrad and the Black Sea

Russian missile barrage kills at least 13 people in Ukraine’s Kyiv

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Russian forces have launched ballistic missile attacks on Ukraine’s capital Kyiv, killing at least 13 people and wounding 33, officials said.

Explosions rang out across several districts of Kyiv early on Thursday, shaking buildings and setting off car alarms, according to the Kyiv Independent, a Ukrainian news outlet.

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The blasts hit the Sviatoshynskyi, Solomianskyi and Shevchenkivskyi districts.

In the Solomianskyi district, a nine-storey residential building collapsed and caught fire following the attack, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said on Telegram. He said a children’s hospital in the district was also damaged, with windows shattered and cars burning on the grounds.

“People are trapped” at another residential building, he continued, with parts of Sviatoshynskyi and Solomianskyi districts also without electricity.

Ukraine’s Emergency Services said at least 33 people were wounded in the “massive attack” on the capital, with fires breaking out in residential buildings and at warehouses.

It said rescuers were at the scene of the attacks and had retrieved at least two people from the rubble of collapsed buildings.

An attack in the Brovary district of the Kyiv region killed one person and wounded another, Kyiv region’s Governor Tymur Tkachenko said.

“One industrial facility has been damaged. All relevant services are on site, working to extinguish the fire,” Tkachenko added.

Reporting from Kyiv, Al Jazeera’s Audrey MacAlpine said air alarms continued to sound in the city on Thursday morning.

“We know that two fuel industrial facilities were hit,” she said.

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MacAlpine said Russia’s escalating missile attacks across Ukraine were causing growing concern as Ukraine faces a shortage of Patriot interceptor missiles. The lack of sufficient air defences will be “a problem when Russia begins to target energy infrastructure, sites that will keep the heat and electricity on this winter”, she said.

The attacks also prompted security responses in neighbouring NATO member states.

Poland’s military command said it had mobilised aircraft and activated air defences to protect its airspace, particularly in areas bordering Ukraine.

Romania’s Ministry of National Defence said radar systems detected aerial targets near the Ukrainian border overnight, prompting the scrambling of two Spanish jets deployed on NATO missions and a Romanian air force helicopter.

The ministry said a drone entered Romanian airspace near Galati before crashing in an unpopulated area in Tulcea county.

Meanwhile, Russia’s Ministry of Defence said it had shot down 726 Ukrainian UAVs between Wednesday evening and Thursday morning over several regions, as well as over the Black Sea and Sea of Azov.

New defence minister

The attacks came a day after Ukraine’s parliament confirmed Yevhenii Khmara as the country’s new defence minister. Lawmakers approved his appointment 312-2, well above the 226 votes needed.

Khmara is a career intelligence official who rose through the ranks of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU). He previously led its Alpha special operations unit, whose personnel have reportedly been linked to Operation Spiderweb, last year’s drone attack deep inside Russian territory.

Addressing parliament before the vote, Khmara pledged to “do everything to defend Ukraine, to reduce Russia’s war potential as much as possible, and to force the enemy into a just peace”. Zelenskyy called the confirmation a sign that “Ukraine needs more strength. And it will have it.”

Not everyone was convinced, however. Opposition lawmaker Solomiia Bobrovska said pulling Khmara from intelligence work was “a mistake”, even while praising him personally.

A protester reacts during a demonstration at the start of a parliamentary session on the appointment of Ukraine's new defense minister, in Kyiv on August 19, 2026, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine.A protester reacts during a demonstration at the start of a parliamentary session on the appointment of Ukraine’s new defence minister, in Kyiv [AFP]

Khmara’s confirmation fills the vacancy left by former Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov. He was ousted in July after a public rupture with the armed forces commander-in-chief, Oleksandr Syrskii, who was also replaced weeks later amid public pressure.

The rupture reverberated further when, a day before Khmara’s confirmation, Fedorov released a video calling for Ukraine to move towards holding elections, currently suspended under wartime law.

He argued that the country faces a “systemic crisis of governance”.

The political fallout spilled into the streets on Wednesday, as dozens of demonstrators rallied in Kyiv in support of Fedorov’s call.

“It’s like we are in a trap,” protester Emilia, who gave only her first name, told Al Jazeera. “Because we have not had any elections, so the members of parliament, the people who are in the executive branch of power, they understand that, ‘Hmm, I can sit here and do whatever I want.’”

Several others said they backed the idea of renewing the country’s leadership. But they were sceptical that a real vote could be held while the war continues.

Ukrainian law currently bars elections during wartime, and no major political figure has publicly pushed back on that since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022.

Zelenskyy’s term ended in May 2024, but the country has postponed its presidential election while martial law remains in effect.

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· · · · · ·

Russia launches deadly missile and drone attacks on Kyiv

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Waves of Russian missiles and jet-powered drones struck Kyiv in the early hours of Thursday, killing at least 16 people in an attack that came as Ukraine struggles with a severe shortage of Patriot interceptor missiles.

Russian missiles hit industrial facilities, fuel depots, warehouses and residential buildings, according to the interior ministry and state emergency services.

A school and a children’s hospital were among the locations damaged in the bombardment, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

Zelenskyy said: “The Russians had been preparing for a long time, combining different types of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones, aiming to cause as much damage as possible to civilian infrastructure.”

He added that missiles and drones also attacked a border crossing with Moldova in the southern Odesa region and hit gas infrastructure in the northern Chernihiv region.

Russia’s defence ministry said it attacked military infrastructure, including a munitions depot and a drone production facility, according to state-run news agencies.

Kyiv’s mayor Vitali Klitschko said at least 15 people were killed in the attack, with another person killed in the greater Kyiv region, according to the state emergency service. Authorities reported more than 40 other people injured.

The bombardment began shortly after midnight in Kyiv, with ballistic missiles striking in quick succession moments after air-raid sirens and text message alerts went out to roughly 4mn residents. The attack lasted for more than eight hours.

Klitschko declared Friday a day of mourning for the victims, and ordered flags to be lowered to half-mast and entertainment events to be rescheduled.

Ukraine has been left helpless against Russian ballistic missiles as it runs short of US-made Patriot air-defence systems.

A global shortage of Ukraine’s only weapon capable of shooting down Russian ballistic missiles has exposed a critical gap in the country’s defences as Moscow intensifies its attacks ahead of winter.

Ukraine has downed just one of dozens of ballistic missiles fired by Russia this month. Its Patriot launchers have sat largely empty and unused for much of the summer, senior Ukrainian officials told the FT, with the US and other partners unwilling to share or sell interceptors amid concerns over their own stockpiles of the munitions.

Russia began increasing the production of its ballistic and hypersonic cruise missiles in spring, and has been producing more than 60 Iskander ballistic missiles each month this year, according to Ukraine’s military defence intelligence agency.

At the same time, the agency said, Russia has increased production of conventional cruise missiles and jet-powered attack drones that have proven harder for Ukraine to take down even with the state of the art drone interceptors and other air-defences.

Ukraine’s air force said Russia launched various types of ballistic missiles at Kyiv and other cities in the latest attacks, but it did not say how many. 

In recent weeks, the air force has stopped routinely disclosing the number of ballistic missiles Russia fires, in order to avoid revealing how many Kyiv fails to intercept and so as not to dampen morale, Ukrainian officials told the FT.

It did report that Russia launched 44 cruise missiles in Thursday’s assault, along with 170 attack drones — “almost half of them jet-powered”. Air-defence systems intercepted 39 cruise missiles and 147 drones, it said.

Ukraine, meanwhile, has intensified its own long-range drone and missile attacks on military and energy facilities deep inside Russia, as well as logistics hubs and supply routes in occupied Crimea in an attempt to isolate the peninsula forcibly annexed by the Kremlin in 2014.

Ukraine has also escalated its assaults on Russian port facilities and cargo vessels in the Black and Azov seas, as it targets Russian vessels to try to cut Russian oil flows.

Russian forces have responded by increasing their attacks on Ukrainian port facilities and ships heading to terminals in Odesa, forcing shipping to a halt this month. No vessels have docked in Ukrainian ports in August, according to Kpler data.

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· · ·

Kaliningrad under the pressure of war: Kremlin propaganda in the face of everyday reality – The Geopost

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In official discourse, Kaliningrad is increasingly portrayed as Russia’s western stronghold: resilient, patriotic, and under constant external pressure. However, propaganda must also compete with people’s everyday experiences. Rising prices, logistical disruptions, security alerts, and the militarization of public life shape how residents perceive the consequences of Russia’s war.

The weakest point of the Kremlin’s propaganda in the Kaliningrad Oblast is the clash between the official worldview and the everyday economy. One can repeat familiar formulas about ‘unfriendly countries’, ‘sanctions pressure’ and ‘the threat from the West’, while seeing that the usual food basket is becoming more expensive, familiar goods periodically disappear and the region is increasingly dependent on complex and costly logistics. In Kaliningrad, the war is felt through the price.

This does not mean that the region has experienced a permanent food crisis, but Kaliningrad lives in a state of heightened vulnerability to disruption. According to the Bank of Russia(opens in a new tab), in March 2026 annual inflation in Kaliningrad Oblast was 7.08 percent, compared to 5.86 percent for Russia as a whole. In December 2025, according to Rusprodsoyuz(opens in a new tab), the minimum monthly food basket in Kaliningrad Oblast cost 20 percent more than the Russian average.

Potatoes became a symbolic example. Under normal circumstances, this is an almost invisible product, part of the routine of daily stability. In June 2025, residents complained about the lack of potatoes in stores. Authorities explained that local stocks had run out and that the shortage in retail was later compensated by supplies from other regions and countries.

The authorities tried to present the situation as manageable – the shortage was not catastrophic, supplies would arrive, Belarus was ready to help, and local potatoes should not be exported, but should remain within the region. But the very fact that the governor discussed limiting the export of potatoes from the region, while the President of Belarus publicly promised (opens in a new tab) to supply Kaliningrad with food, shows that this was no longer an ordinary seasonal price fluctuation. For Kaliningrad, this is a reminder that if something breaks within the region, replacing it is more difficult, because any compensation depends on a route.

Logistical anxieties

It is logistics that makes the daily economy of Kaliningrad political. People’s lives are made through corridors, ports, ferries, quotas, subsidies and bypasses. Maritime transport is an alternative to land transport through the EU, where sanctions restrict the transit of certain goods.

In 2026, this dependence became even more apparent. After sanctions against Lukoil, sea shipments of oil products on the Kaliningrad route tripled.(opens in new tab)to 61,000 tons. Since the end of 2025, the company has shifted almost all such cargoes from land transit to sea routes. This looks like adaptation, but it also shows dependence. The region relies on constant reconfiguration of routes.

For Kremlin propaganda, this situation is ambiguous. On the one hand, any difficulties can be explained by external pressure: sanctions, Lithuania, Poland, the EU, the ‘economic war of the West’. A clear example of this context appeared as early as 2025, when Federation Council Speaker Valentina Matviyenko said (opens in a new tab) that Kaliningrad needed special mechanisms to deal with ‘opposition and problems created by neighbors, “partners” in quotation marks’, again presenting the region’s economic and logistical difficulties as a result of hostile external pressure.

This allows public anger to be directed outwards rather than towards Moscow. On the other hand, the more daily life depends on subsidies, ferries, supplies from Belarus, imported potatoes and decisions from the federal center, the less convincing the image of a stable fortress becomes. This is the main paradox of Kaliningrad.

Sabotage, fear and militarization of everyday life

The next layer of propaganda is not just the image of an external threat, but its constant movement closer to everyday life. If the narrative of the besieged fortress explains why the region is supposedly under pressure from NATO and the West, then reports of sabotage and terrorist attacks make this threat almost internal. The danger is no longer somewhere in television geopolitics, but close at hand – in a communication tower, a gas pipeline, a road, a military convoy, a railway station or an infrastructure facility.

Over the past few years, the FSB reported numerous detentions of residents of the region suspected of alleged sabotage activities, including arson attacks on transport and communications infrastructure.

In 2025, such reports moved even closer to ordinary urban infrastructure. In February 2025, the Kaliningrad FSB reported(opens in a new tab)the detention of three Russian citizens who, according to the agency, had planned to set fire to the power supply equipment of a mobile communications base station “in the interests of Ukraine”. In May 2025, the FSB announced(opens in a new tab)the detention of a 25-year-old Russian citizen who was suspected of preparing a terrorist attack on the route of a military parade convoy during the events of May 9.

The key point here is not the number of cases, but the fact that Kaliningrad residents are encouraged to see danger not only in Ukraine, NATO or ‘hostile neighbors’, but also within their region – in people nearby, suspicious contacts, other people’s phones, money transfers, conversations and interest in infrastructure facilities. The war thus becomes not only an external conflict, but also an internal regime of suspicion.

A special element of this logic is the creation(opens in a new tab)in 2025 of the BARS-39 combat army reserve. Officially, the authorities explained it as a measure to strengthen the territorial defense of the region. Governor Alexey Besprozvannykh said(opens in a new tab)at that time he had turned to the Ministry of Defense after requests from residents and veterans’ organizations, while the first wave of reservists underwent training at the Khmelyovka training ground. Later, the governor himself, members of the regional government and heads of municipalities joined BARS-39, and the official presentation emphasized that service and training would take place only within the region.

The political meaning here is more important than the military one. BARS-39 transforms anxiety into organized behavior. The population is invited not only to believe that the region is under threat, but to participate in a ritual of defense – to register, to attend training, to take a piece of land, to guard ‘one’s home.’ Even if most residents never join the reserve, the very fact of its public promotion normalizes the idea that Kaliningrad lives in a special defensive regime.

The psychology of drone warfare

The topic of drones occupies a special place. Unlike the Russian border regions that regularly face attacks from UAVs, the Kaliningrad Oblast does not have a direct air corridor from Ukraine through Russian territory. A possible Ukrainian drone flying to Kaliningrad would have to cross the airspace of other states or rely on a much more complicated scenario – for example, be launched from the sea, from within the region itself or as part of a local sabotage operation. That is why the threat from drones in Kaliningrad is perceived differently than in the Belgorod, Kursk or Rostov regions. Geographically, it is less visible and requires additional explanations.

On May 25, 2026, residents of the Kaliningrad Oblast received a warning.(opens in a new tab)of the ‘drone threat’ for the first time. According to messages from the emergency warning system and regional authorities, the ‘warning system was activated’ and Khrabrovo airport temporarily restricted arrivals and departures. At the same time, no public information was provided about a specific drone, its route, where it was detected, captured or shot down. This is crucial – it was not a confirmed attack or a downed aircraft, but a warning signal with an obscure factual basis.

Even if the true nature of the threat remains unclear, the signal itself produces the necessary psychological effect: the war suddenly appears not somewhere far away, but over Kaliningrad. Residents are invited to feel themselves part of the same danger zone in which the Russian border regions live. This creates a sense of being connected in the same war: the region may not be near the Ukrainian front, but it is nevertheless included in the general map of the war.

In this sense, the drone warning of May 25, 2026 became a continuation of the ‘besieged fortress’ narrative. And the less visible such a threat is from a geographical point of view, the more obvious its political function becomes – to arouse anxiety, strengthen trust in security agencies, justify the militarization of everyday life, and once again present Kaliningrad not as an enclave far from the front, but as the western border of Russia already involved in war.

The myth of the outpost mail: the price of reality

The Kaliningrad Oblast shows how Kremlin propaganda works in wartime not only through television narratives, but also through the reformatting of everyday life itself. Kaliningrad is increasingly presented not as a distinctive European border, but as Russia’s western outpost surrounded by enemies. In this logic, the war against Ukraine no longer looks like Moscow’s aggression and is presented instead as part of the supposedly necessary defense of Russia as a whole and Kaliningrad in particular.

But it is precisely the local experience that makes this construction tangible. Kaliningrad residents may be encouraged to imagine themselves living in a protected fortress, yet their daily lives increasingly tell them something else – the region has become more closed, more expensive, more dependent and more unsettling. Propaganda can direct irritation outward – towards Ukraine, NATO, Lithuania, Poland and the ‘collective West’ – but it cannot completely erase the personal feeling that life has deteriorated. That is why the main conflict in Kaliningrad is not between belief and disbelief in propaganda, but between the official mythology of the post and the real experience of people who see the price of war in shops, at borders, on supply routes and change, writes defense24.

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NATO High-Tech Aircraft Surge Near Kaliningrad and the Black Sea

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UNITED24 Media

A concentration of NATO military aircraft was detected near the Kaliningrad region on August 18, according to reporting by Welt.

The airborne deployment included an E-3 AWACS airborne early warning and control aircraft, an American EA-37B Compass Call II electronic warfare plane, and an ARTEMIS II reconnaissance aircraft flying simultaneously in the airspace.

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A NATO representative stated that the alliance conducted an operation led by the United States that involved American and Norwegian fighter jets, Polish ground units, the E-3 AWACS, and additional forces.

OSINTdefender analyst noted that while flights by E-3 AWACS and ARTEMIS II aircraft are common in the area, the inclusion of the newly deployed EA-37B electronic warfare aircraft suggests that the United States and NATO had a specific operational requirement for intelligence gathering or electronic warfare near Kaliningrad, according to Welt.

Bundeswehr University military expert Carlo Masala remarked, “One can only hope that Russia understood the message.”

The Kaliningrad region is considered one of Russia’s most heavily militarized territories. The enclave houses air defense systems, missile complexes, and military infrastructure capable of posing a threat to Poland, the Baltic states, and NATO logistics routes.

As a result, the alliance views the territory as a critical component of Russian military capability along its eastern edge.

This non-standard NATO aviation movement occurred following warnings from US intelligence regarding risks of potential Russian aggression against an alliance member to test its commitment to collective defense, as reported by Welt.

Additionally, two weeks prior, Lithuanian officials stated that the Kremlin might consider targeting critical infrastructure in the Baltic states using captured Ukrainian drones to obscure direct involvement.

On August 19, 2026, NATO reconnaissance aircraft simultaneously carried out flights in two key directions—over the Black Sea and near Belarus.

According to the analytical channel Coffe Report, the American ARTEMIS II reconnaissance aircraft, a Bombardier Challenger 650 with registration number N159L, conducted a mission over the central part of the Black Sea, south of Crimea, to gather intelligence on Russian forces.

At the same time, a NATO AWACS aircraft with registration number LX-N90445 operated over the Baltic states and Central Europe alongside another E-3 AWACS and an aerial tanker to monitor military activity and coordinate aviation operations across the region.

Earlier in May, fighters participating in NATO’s Baltic Air Policing mission were reportedly scrambled three separate times over one week to identify and escort Russian aircraft accused of violating flight regulations.

In late April, Swedish and Danish fighter jets also intercepted Russian Tupolev Tu-22M bombers escorted by Su-35 fighters over the Baltic Sea.

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Opinion | The New Physics of Power

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Thomas L. Friedman

Credit…Gregory Halpern for The New York Times

If I were writing a book about the U.S. war with Iran, I know exactly what the title would be. It would be President Trump’s social media post of April 5, 2026, directed at the leaders of Iran: “Open the [expletive] Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell — JUST WATCH!”

Wars are a crucible that very often exposes changes in the physics of the world around us — who has power, who doesn’t have power and how power is being wielded. Nothing better captures the new power equation produced by this war than Trump’s unhinged and obscene rant at the Iranian leadership for not bending to his bombs.

This new physics of war is equally present in the conflicts between Ukraine and Russia, Hezbollah and Israel, Hamas and Israel and the Houthis and everyone else. My summary of this new dynamic is that the small can now act really big, really accurately and really inexpensively. And while the big can also act really small, really accurately, it is far more expensive for them to do that while bearing the burden of vast legacy arms systems.

The net advantage, for the moment, seems to be to the small. That should keep you up at night, when you think how the emerging revolution in artificial intelligence will surely supercharge this trend, enabling the small to act even bigger, mightier and less expensively.

It’s not surprising that Trump is frustrated. After all, on March 11, less than two weeks after he and Israel started this latest bout of war with Iran with a large-scale bombing campaign, Trump declared: “We’ve won. Let me tell you, we’ve won. You know, you never like to say too early you won. We won. In the first hour it was over. But we won.”

He was right about one thing: Never say you won too early.

Trump didn’t realize that the Iranian government also has a say in when this war is won and lost. More important, and unlike Trump, Tehran had a Plan B for the morning after: use its newfound ability to act big, accurately and cheaply to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz — even though its military was a small fraction of the size of America’s and had been badly hammered.

I wish I could take delight in seeing our pompous, narcissistic, constantly bloviating president humbled by reality. But I truly do not — because this is getting scary. And it is going to get worse. The Iranians have inflicted real harm on America — on the battlefield and on our economy — the scale of which Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have been hiding.

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Iran has been under economic sanctions, on and off, since 1979. Yet it has managed to develop an arsenal of sophisticated but relatively inexpensive missiles and drones that has enabled it to fight both Israel and the United States to something of a draw — and do some significant damage to American military assets in the region along the way. Consider just a few stories that you may not have noticed.

The reason the main U.S. aircraft carrier in the Persian Gulf, the U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln, has sometimes run low on supplies to sustain its almost 5,700-person complement is that after the first day of the war, Iranian missiles and attack drones destroyed much of the U.S. supply base in Bahrain. “As it went up in smoke, so did a major logistics hub that the Navy has relied on for decades,” The Times reported. This forced Trump and the even more smug Hegseth to increase reliance on a base under British command on the island of Diego Garcia as its supply hub, which is roughly 2,700 miles from Bahrain. How was the Bahrain base so unprotected against Iranian missiles on the first day of the war? If that is not worth hauling Hegseth before Congress, I don’t know what is.

Or maybe you missed this story in the journal Defence Security Asia commenting on a CNN report that sometime in the early days of March, an Iranian missile destroyed a $500 million radar vital to running a THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) advanced missile defense system at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. The attack signaled “a potentially transformative moment” in the “strategic contest” between Iran and the United States and Israel, the journal said.

A senior Jordanian official told me he was stunned to learn that the Iranians somehow managed to send their missile at the THAAD’s radar system by maneuvering it — in flight — to make a flanking attack on the radar and evade detection and interception. This was against the most sophisticated antimissile system in the U.S. arsenal!

John Arquilla, professor emeritus of defense analysis at the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, explained to me that missile warfare is no longer just a matter of firing off a warhead on a predictable trajectory and then letting inertia and GPS smart guidance systems lead it to the target. The Russians have focused enormous resources on building missiles with midflight maneuverability, guided by better real-time information, increasingly propelled at hypersonic speeds, and capable of arriving from an angle a defender has not anticipated. Iran’s Fattah missiles reportedly have such capabilities, although it is still not clear whether they or drones took out the THAAD 500 miles from Iran.

“This is making the missile the pre-eminent weapon of the 21st century, with the potential to undermine deterrence and stability” in many different kinds of battles, said Arquilla, the author of the new book “The Troubled American Way of War: From Hiroshima to the Age of Algorithms.”

China has been deploying maneuverable hypersonic DF-17 missiles for several years now in its live-fire exercises in Chinese waters near Taiwan.

On March 3, two one-way attack drones struck the U.S. Embassy compound in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, at about 1:30 a.m. The first drone flew straight into the floor housing the C.I.A. station at the Riyadh embassy; the second drone flew directly into the entry hole created by the first, causing an extensive blast and a fire that burned for hours. Later reports suggested this Iranian attack may have been aided by Russian satellite intelligence provided by Vladimir Putin. Trump has seemingly done nothing about that.

For generations, Arquilla noted, wars were “won by mass and energy.” Warfare followed a simple physical law: The more distance you fired your projectile, the less accurate it was. So, distance had to be overcome “with mass and energy.” Not today. “Now wars are won by information,” said Arquilla.

And even the little guys now have access to it. You just have to look at how Hezbollah has inflicted significant harm on Israeli communities and the Israeli Army, with its huge U.S.-made military platforms; how badly Ukraine has bloodied a big bad Russia; and how Iran is fighting the United States and Israel to a stalemate to see how inexpensive, precision weapons buildable in a basement workshop with components that can be found on Amazon have severed the old link between range and accuracy.

Ukraine, Arquilla added, “has become a sea power without a traditional navy. It has used drone boats and armed Jet Skis” to push Russia’s conventional Black Sea fleet far enough away from Ukraine’s coastline so it can keep exporting its grain and fertilizer to world markets.

These new technologies allow “the many and the small” — Iranians, Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas — “to slip the heavy punches of their opponents, because they are well hidden and can strike back with accurate blows of their own,” Arquilla said. The U.S. military, meanwhile, has just 11 big lumbering divisions and 11 carrier groups.

That is why defenders now have a real advantage over attackers, Arquilla concluded. Trump and Hegseth kept focusing on “scaling up the war” — adding more tempo and more tonnage — and the Iranians focused on “scaling out the war,” hiding small units with precision missiles in more places and attacking U.S. bases and Arab oil facilities all over the Gulf.

“Their job is to survive long enough to shoot and scoot. On land, a few big formations of Abrams tanks matter less than the many and the small with cheap weapons they can build and modify in a week,” Arquilla said.

These new weapons amplify another advantage the small have over the big: They don’t have to win. They just have to avoid losing. We have to win, end the war, go home and never look back. Good luck with that now.

Before the Iranians and Hezbollah get too smug, though, they should remember the other half of my equation: While the small can now act really big, the big can now act really small. On the first day of the war, Israeli airstrikes with precision weapons — aided by U.S. intelligence — killed over 40 senior Iranian leaders gathered in a high-level leadership meeting in a single compound in Tehran. In other words, with precise information, Israel wiped out much of Iran’s national security elite with one shot.

And then there was the Israeli pager attack on Hezbollah. On Sept. 17 and 18, 2024, Israel detonated the pagers and other hand-held electronic devices used by Hezbollah members, fighters, officers, medics and civilian supporters, killing dozens of people and wounding some 3,000 others. An estimated 1,500 Hezbollah fighters were reportedly put out of action because of injuries, mostly affecting their hands, faces and hips. Using a relatively small quantity of explosives and a huge dollop of information, Israel killed and wounded a significant number of Hezbollah fighters in a few hours.

The U.S.-Israel Stuxnet attack on Iran’s Natanz enrichment facility that began in 2009 was another version of this. Instead of bombing the facility, the United States and Israel inserted a small computer worm — a few lines of code — to disable a big number of Iran’s IR-1 centrifuges, though the centrifuges were quickly replaced and the disruption was ultimately minimal. (The United States and Israel have never acknowledged responsibility for the virus.) That was the big acting small, using just malware, but you can bet that the development of that code, and the whole joint operation, cost a lot of money.

What is truly alarming today is how easy it is becoming for the small to act big — and by “small,” I don’t just mean in size, but also in age. A teenager with a laptop, a Starlink connection and an open-weight A.I. model can now disrupt a municipal water or power system by identifying and exploiting old software vulnerabilities.

So don’t be surprised if one day soon you hear your mayor sounding like Trump: “Turn my water back on, you crazy …”

The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And here’s our email: letters@nytimes.com.

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Thomas L. Friedman is the foreign affairs Opinion columnist. He joined the paper in 1981 and has won three Pulitzer Prizes. He is the author of seven books, including “From Beirut to Jerusalem,” which won the National Book Award. @tomfriedman Facebook

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Putin knows more than we realize

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“I am almost certain we’ll come to a social crisis…under the current macroeconomic policy being pursued, the economy will stop, and society is unlikely to accept it.”

These are the words of Andrei Klepach, the chief economist of Russia’s state development bank (VEB), at a Moscow meeting of top economists and scientists in May. There, he delivered a scathing report on the Kremlin’s monetary policy, predicted Moscow will be more dependent on Beijing than it ever was on Europe, and openly admitted Russia is losing the technological and economic battle to Ukraine.

And nothing happened. For three months, Klepach continued his work at VEB undisturbed—until Russian media got a hold of the contents of his report last week. By Sunday, he was gone.

A common Western assumption is that Vladimir Putin is shielded from bad news by subordinates too afraid to tell him what he doesn’t want to hear. But the Russian president was clearly aware of this dire prognosis, fielded by one of the nation’s leading economists, before the media cottoned on.

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Interconnected Wars: Ukraine war and Iran war; the same actors and the same strategy


Interconnected Wars: Ukraine, Iran

Created with 3.1 Pro August 20, 2026 at 08:10 AMPublished August 20, 2026 at 08:14 AM
While the principal combatants on the ground differ, the assertion that the Ukraine and Iran conflicts share the same actors and overarching strategies captures a growing reality in international security. These conflicts are increasingly operating as an interconnected system where actions in one theater directly dictate the balance of power in the other.

The Overlapping Actor Network

The broader geopolitical coalitions driving and sustaining both conflicts are deeply intertwined, creating a shared logistics and intelligence environment.

  • The Strategic Axis: Iran functions as a critical supplier for Russia, providing loitering munitions and drone technology for use in Ukraine. In exchange, Russia is increasingly supplying Iran with advanced military technology, air-defense systems, and targeting intelligence.

  • The Constrained Counter-Coalition: The United States and its European allies are stretching the same logistical networks across both theaters. The exact same Western supply of missile interceptors and intelligence assets is required to defend both Ukrainian cities and Middle Eastern airspace.

  • Tactical Cross-Pollination: In a direct transfer of battlefield knowledge, Ukraine has begun exporting its hard-won anti-drone expertise to Gulf states, helping them adapt to the exact same asymmetric threats deployed by Iranian proxies.

Strategic Convergence: The Logic of “Managed Instability”

The operational cadence of both conflicts has settled into a remarkably similar pattern of attrition, coercion, and managed instability.

  • The Failure of Decisive Force: Both conflicts began with larger powers anticipating that overwhelming conventional superiority would force a rapid political outcome. In both cases, the targeted networks adapted, forcing the conflicts into open-ended contests over long-term leverage rather than swift military victories.

  • Economic and Asymmetric Warfare: Both theaters demonstrate how non-traditional warfare is used to manipulate global markets. Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries to inflict economic pain, mirroring Iran’s strategy of utilizing proxy forces to threaten maritime chokepoints in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz, thereby raising global shipping and insurance risks.

  • The Democratization of Lethality: In both environments, cheap, disposable drones and autonomous systems have altered the cost calculus of war. Smaller actors can now impose disproportionate costs on advanced militaries, turning both theaters into transparent, heavily surveilled spaces where mass force is highly vulnerable without rapid adaptation.

Divergent Operational Environments

While the actors and strategic logic overlap, it is critical to distinguish the physical domains in which these wars are fought.

  • Force Application: Ukraine remains a massive, mechanized ground war defined by trench networks and the physical contest for territory. Conversely, the Iranian conflict operates as a multi-domain, indirect campaign relying heavily on proxy militias, aerospace strikes, and maritime harassment.

  • Strategic Objectives: Ukraine’s primary objective is sovereign survival and territorial defense. The conflict surrounding Iran is focused on regional deterrence, protecting the commercial viability of the Gulf economic model, and countering the spread of proxy hegemony.

Ultimately, these are not a single merged war, but rather two interconnected fronts of a “two-war proxy context”. Escalation, resource consumption, and technological breakthroughs in one theater immediately alter the strategic reality in the other.

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Audio Posts – 8.17.26 – 10:20 AM


 

August 17, 2026 News Briefing
Germany Overhauls Intelligence Powers
Iran’s War Losses, US/Israel Comparison
Iran’s Evolving Military Strategy
Iran’s Underground Military Strategy
Daily News Briefing: August 17, 2026

August 17, 2026 News Briefing

Here is your news briefing for Monday, August 17, 2026, focusing on the global and domestic developments you track.

Geopolitics & International Security

  • Middle East Diplomacy: Presidential envoy Jared Kushner is scheduled to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in an effort to salvage a Gaza agreement. This follows rare weekend talks in Egypt with Hamas’s new leadership regarding a stalled 15-point plan.

  • U.S.-South Korea Military Exercises: President Trump announced he has instructed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to “substantially reduce” joint military exercises with South Korea. Trump cited his relationship with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and the cost of the exercises, calling them “inappropriate and hostile.” Additionally, Trump stated that South Korea declined his invitation to join efforts regarding the denuclearization of Iran.

  • BRICS Summit & Iran-India Relations: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is preparing to visit India for the upcoming BRICS Summit. Bilateral discussions with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi are expected to center on regional security and economic cooperation, particularly as Iran’s economy shows signs of post-conflict recovery.

  • Transatlantic Trade: Recent data indicates that German companies have reduced their investments in the United States to a three-year low during the first half of 2026.

U.S. Domestic News & Politics

  • Primary Election Trends: Analysts are tracking a notable trend in recent Democratic primaries, where candidates endorsed by or aligned with the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) have secured several victories across various ballot levels.

  • Visa Enforcement: U.S. authorities have initiated a crackdown on alleged H-1B visa fraud in Dallas, Texas, targeting the misuse of the program.

  • State-Level Economic Strategy: A new report from the New York Senate GOP outlines a proposed multi-pronged strategy aimed at combating inflation at the state level.

Other Notable Headlines

  • International Incidents: In Lakhisarai, Bihar, India, a stampede at the Ashokdham Temple has left at least six people dead and several others injured.

  • WNBA Playoff Push: The Golden State Valkyries have the opportunity to secure a spot in the 2026 WNBA playoffs tonight with a victory over the Dallas Wings at the Chase Center. The expansion team is currently on a five-game winning streak.

Iran’s War Losses, US/Israel Comparison

As of August 2026, the military landscape between Iran, Israel, and the United States has been fundamentally reshaped by successive waves of conflict, culminating in the 40-day war earlier this year.

The current assessment reveals a stark dichotomy: Iran’s conventional defenses and strategic infrastructure have suffered immense, historic losses, yet its industrial resilience and ability to reconstitute its ballistic missile arsenal have significantly outpaced US and Israeli expectations.

Iran’s Current Capabilities and Losses

A series of intense air campaigns—starting in late 2024 and continuing through the 12-Day War in June 2025 and the 40-day US-Israeli campaign in early 2026—have systematically dismantled Iran’s conventional military architecture.

  • Air Defense Network (Decimated): Iran’s airspace is currently highly vulnerable. The systematic destruction began in October 2024 when Israel knocked out virtually all of Iran’s S-300 batteries. As of recent 2026 estimates, roughly 80% of Iran’s air defense network has been eliminated. The US-Israeli combined forces have even established localized air superiority over the southern flank of the Iranian coast—an unprecedented logistical and operational feat against a nation of Iran’s size and geographic distance.

  • Ballistic Missiles (Severely Degraded but Rapidly Recovering): During the 2026 campaign, the US and Israel struck over 2,600 Iranian missile and industrial targets, reducing Iran’s launch rate by 90% and eliminating over 60% of its transporter-erector-launchers (TELs).

  • The “Reconstitution” Shock: Despite sustaining an estimated $300 billion in damage to its military industry, Iran’s ability to rebuild its asymmetric strike capabilities has stunned Israeli and Mossad officials. Iran used bulldozers to rapidly reopen blocked underground “missile cities” and restored high-speed missile manufacturing. If current production rates of 100-300 missiles per month continue, Iran is on track to fully restore its pre-war missile arsenal by 2027 or 2028.

Key Insight: Iran holds a numerical advantage in active personnel, but modern warfare relies heavily on air superiority, force projection, and missile defense, areas where the US and Israel hold an overwhelming edge.

The Strategic Matchup: US & Israel vs. Iran

The conflict has highlighted the fundamental difference in how these militaries are structured and how they project power.

The United States: The US remains the only military capable of long-term force projection far from its own territory. Its involvement—bringing nuclear aircraft carriers, vast refueling networks, and fifth-generation fighter squadrons—was the linchpin that allowed the combined US-Israeli force to execute sustained, multi-week bombing campaigns deep inside Iranian territory.

Israel: Israel compensates for its smaller size and reliance on reserve forces (roughly 169,000 active duty vs. 465,000 reservists) through profound technological supremacy.

  • Offense: Its fleet of F-35I “Adir” stealth fighters has proven capable of executing round-trips over 2,000 kilometers to routinely penetrate Iranian airspace.

  • Defense: Israel possesses the world’s most advanced, multi-layered air and missile defense architecture (Iron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow 2, Arrow 3, and US-deployed THAAD batteries). This umbrella successfully absorbed and deflected the immense kinetic energy and sheer volume of Iranian ballistic missile barrages, preventing catastrophic damage to Israeli military infrastructure.

Iran: Knowing it cannot win a conventional, symmetrical war against Western air power, Iran continues to rely on mass and asymmetry. Because its aging air force is entirely outmatched, Iran leans entirely on its localized proxy networks, drone swarms, and massive ballistic missile reserves. While their conventional capabilities have been systematically dismantled, their capacity to endure heavy bombardment and rapidly regenerate asymmetric threats remains their most potent remaining strategic asset.

Iran’s Evolving Military Strategy 

Iran’s military strategy has undergone a fundamental transformation during the ongoing 2026 conflict, shifting away from a defensive posture toward an aggressive doctrine designed to fundamentally alter the security architecture of the Middle East.

Deterrence Under Fire: The Post-2026 Paradigm

Historically, Tehran relied on a hybrid approach: “deterrence by denial” through its extensive Axis of Resistance proxy network, and “deterrence by punishment” via the threat of its ballistic missile arsenal. However, the current war exposed the limitations of relying on proxies for deterrence, prompting a shift toward active “deterrence under fire”.

Under its new leadership, Iran has discarded calibrated, proportional responses in favor of sustained escalation, utilizing direct missile and drone campaigns to alter the cost-benefit calculus of its adversaries and establish a new strategic equation.

Core Strategic Pillars

Horizontal and Vertical Escalation
Rather than engaging in a localized, bilateral conflict, Tehran has deliberately regionalized the battlefield to overwhelm adversarial planning.

  • Horizontal Expansion: Iran has aggressively widened the geographic scope of its operations across multiple nations—including Israel, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon—while expanding maritime operations into the Red Sea. This stretches U.S. and allied resources and attempts to render the broader Middle East a high-risk zone.

  • Vertical Escalation: Tactically, Iran has moved beyond traditional military-on-military engagements, choosing to strike higher-value targets, including critical civilian infrastructure, commercial shipping, and energy facilities.

A War of Attrition
Iran is not seeking a swift, conventional battlefield victory. Recognizing its disadvantages against technologically superior air forces, the Islamic Republic—structuring itself as an endurance regime—is pursuing a long-term war of attrition. By leveraging steady domestic arms production, decentralized launch systems, and geographical depth, Tehran aims to drag out the conflict. Recent statements from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) indicate a strategic intent to prolong the war for years to exhaust adversaries militarily and politically, ensuring future attacks become prohibitively costly.

Weaponizing Global Commerce and Infrastructure
A defining characteristic of Iran’s modernized strategy is shifting the center of gravity away from direct military confrontation and toward systems that adversaries struggle to defend. By choking off the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has weaponized commercial risk, drastically increasing shipping insurance premiums and disrupting global energy supplies without needing to win conventional naval battles.

Furthermore, the battlespace has deliberately been expanded into the digital and logistical domains. Data centers, cloud infrastructure, and commercial artificial intelligence providers operating in the region are no longer considered civilian background systems; they are treated as active strategic targets. Iranian media has explicitly identified major Western technology and AI firms as potential targets. This reflects an analytical understanding that disrupting the digital infrastructure that enables open-source intelligence collection, automated logistics, and predictive targeting is just as critical to degrading adversarial capabilities as striking physical military bases.

Passive Defense and Decentralization
To protect its own assets from sophisticated air campaigns, Iran leans heavily on a doctrine of “passive defense”. This involves burying critical nuclear and military infrastructure in deep underground facilities, maximizing camouflage, and avoiding large, vulnerable concentrations of forces. This decentralized, highly resilient posture allows Iran to sustain its missile and drone operations even while absorbing heavy bombardments.

Iran’s Underground Military Strategy

While it is true that Iran relies heavily on extensive subterranean networks to protect its military assets, characterizing its overall posture as purely “on the defensive” misses the strategic intent behind these facilities. Iran’s use of deep underground bases is a calculated asymmetric strategy designed to ensure the survival of its offensive capabilities against adversaries with superior air power.

Here is a breakdown of how Iran is currently utilizing its underground infrastructure and adapting its military posture:

The Strategic Purpose of Underground Networks

Iran’s military doctrine emphasizes survivability through concealment and dispersal. By moving critical infrastructure deep underground, Tehran aims to neutralize the threat of precision strikes and bunker-busting munitions.

  • Asset Protection: Iran houses a vast array of its military hardware in mountain tunnels, including air defense systems, ballistic missile stockpiles, drone production factories, and even naval speedboats.

  • Operational Continuity: These fortified facilities are not just storage bunkers; they are active operational hubs. The goal is to maintain the ability to launch retaliatory or offensive strikes even while under sustained bombardment.

Retaining Offensive Capabilities

Despite sustaining damage in recent conflicts, intelligence assessments indicate that Iran’s military retains significant striking power.

  • Rapid Reconstitution: Recent reports from mid-to-late 2026 suggest that Iran has been rapidly rebuilding its capabilities, reopening underground missile facilities, and resuming weapons production at a pace that has alarmed Israeli and U.S. planners.

  • Maintained Stockpiles: Classified U.S. intelligence assessments from earlier in 2026 contradicted public claims of a shattered Iranian military, noting that Tehran had retained roughly 70% of its prewar missile stockpile and mobile launchers, and had operational access to the vast majority of its underground storage.

Tactical Adaptation

Rather than simply hiding, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is actively adapting its battlefield tactics.

  • Dispersed Air Defense: Iran claims to have replaced its conventional air-defense structure with a more flexible, dispersed network that improves intelligence-sharing and allows systems to function under attack. Recently, a mysterious new “Pantsir-like” air defense system was spotted inside an underground base, suggesting ongoing modernization.

  • Asymmetric Warfare: The IRGC continues to refine its tactics to challenge U.S. and allied air defenses. This includes combining cheaper drones with maneuverable missiles in “swarm” tactics designed to overwhelm advanced defense shields and force adversaries to deplete expensive interceptor stockpiles.

In essence, Iran’s retreat underground is not a sign of capitulation, but a deliberate effort to preserve its “Hidden War” tempo. By protecting its missile and drone assets within fortified mountains, Tehran maintains a persistent, asymmetric threat projection across the region.

Daily News Briefing: August 17, 2026

Here is your daily briefing for Monday, August 17, 2026, focusing on international developments, public health, and national events:

Geopolitics & International Security

  • US-Iran Escalation: The U.S. has intensified its military operations, launching a seventh consecutive night of strikes against Iran. In a corresponding move, Iran’s military announced a $30,000 bounty for the killing or capturing of U.S. soldiers.

  • US-South Korea Exercises Reduced: President Donald Trump has instructed Secretary of War Pete Hegseth to substantially reduce joint military exercises with South Korea. The President cited his relationship with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as the rationale for scaling back the operations.

  • BRICS Summit: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is preparing to visit India for the upcoming BRICS Summit, where bilateral talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi are expected to focus on regional stability and economic recovery.

Public Health & Domestic News

  • Biological & Pathogen Threats: A widespread cyclosporiasis outbreak has sickened thousands across the United States, prompting Taylor Farms to voluntarily pull Mexican-sourced iceberg lettuce from the market. Locally, a fatal case has been reported in an ongoing Legionnaires’ disease outbreak in New York City.

  • Visa Fraud Enforcement: U.S. authorities have initiated a crackdown targeting alleged H-1B visa fraud networks operating out of Dallas.

  • Environmental Hazards: More than 100 million Americans across the Midwest and East Coast are currently under dangerous air quality alerts as heavy smoke from Canadian wildfires blankets the region.

Sports & Additional Updates

  • WNBA: The Golden State Valkyries have the opportunity to secure a 2026 playoff spot in their inaugural season if they defeat the Dallas Wings tonight at the Chase Center.

  • Cricket: In a significant upset, Bangladesh defeated the current Test champions, Australia, in their first Test match in Darwin.


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Audio Posts Review – 10:28 AM 8/16/2026


 Audio Posts Review – 10:28 AM 8/16/2026

GLOBAL SECURITY AND INTELLIGENCE NEWS REVIEW – AI REPORT


Unprecedented Drone Assault

On Sunday, August 16, Ukraine launched one of its most massive drone assaults since the war began, directing an estimated 600 drones toward the Moscow region.

Ukraine War: Escalated Aerial Attacks share.gemini.google/a9htpT1oV13b
Here are the main developments in the Russia-Ukraine war over the past week, defined by a massive escalation in long-range aerial attacks by both sides:

Ukrainian Strikes Inside Russia

Unprecedented Drone Assault: On Sunday, August 16, Ukraine launched one of its most massive drone assaults since the war began, directing an estimated 600 drones toward the Moscow region.
Targeting Logistics and Economy: A primary target was a 200,000-square-meter warehouse in Podolsk belonging to Wildberries, Russia’s largest e-commerce retailer, which was severely damaged in a resulting fire. Kyiv has increasingly targeted the company—which it accuses of supplying dual-use drone components to the Russian military—including a coordinated cyberattack on its payment systems earlier in the week.
Strategic Deep Strikes: Throughout the week, Ukrainian forces struck military logistics networks, an industrial site in Samara, a major oil refinery deep inside Russian territory, and launched a combined missile and sea drone attack against Russia’s Black Sea naval stronghold in Novorossiysk.

Russian Bombardments on Ukraine

Intense Aerial Barrage: According to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Russia launched more than 1,550 attack drones, nearly 1,560 guided aerial bombs, and 62 missiles (primarily ballistic) at Ukrainian cities and communities over the past week.
Exploiting Air Defense Gaps: Russian ballistic missiles successfully struck industrial targets and civilian areas in Kyiv and Kryvyi Rih. These strikes exposed a critical vulnerability, as Ukraine is currently experiencing a severe shortage of U.S.-made Patriot interceptors, which are the only weapons in its arsenal capable of shooting down high-speed ballistic missiles.
Damage and Casualties: The strikes caused multiple civilian casualties across several regions. In Kyiv, the attacks ignited severe fires that destroyed a large portion of the historic Petrovka book market, a major cultural hub. Russia’s defense ministry stated its strikes targeted defense production facilities, an oil refinery in Kremenchuk, and the ArcelorMittal metallurgical complex.

Black Sea Diplomacy

Proposed Shipping Truce: In a pragmatic move ahead of the harvest season, Ukraine reportedly offered a deal to Russia—mediated through a third party—to mutually halt attacks on civilian ships in the Black Sea. The overture is aimed at reopening crucial maritime corridors for Ukrainian grain and Russian oil to stabilize international food and energy markets.

Spillover into NATO Territory

Airspace Incursions: The intense aerial warfare resulted in multiple drones crossing into NATO airspace. A Spanish F-18 fighter jet, operating as part of a NATO patrol, shot down a suspected Russian drone over Romania. Separately, another drone exploded near a gas pipeline in Bulgaria, prompting the country to summon the Ukrainian ambassador.

AI Mode:
Unprecedented Drone Assault: On Sunday, August 16

Ukraine launched one of its largest coordinated drone assaults of the war overnight into Sunday, August 16, 2026, targeting multiple regions across Russia. Russia’s Ministry of Defense claimed to have intercepted 822 Ukrainian drones. Over 600 of those unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) were reportedly directed toward Moscow alone. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Casualties and Damage in Russia

Moscow Region: An 83-year-old man was killed in Podolsk when a drone struck a private residence. The attack sparked a massive blaze at a major Wildberries e-commerce warehouse, sending columns of thick black smoke into the air. Another warehouse facility in Domodedovo, near a major airport, was also damaged. [1, 6]
Rostov Region: A swarm of more than 150 drones hit three towns in the southwestern region, killing five people. The strikes damaged residential homes, hit a railway station, and ignited a forest fire. [1]
Logistics & Aviation: The intense aerial raid forced flight suspensions and massive delays across all four major international airports serving the Moscow metropolitan area. [7]

Simultaneous Russian Strikes and NATO Spillover

Kyiv & Kryvyi Rih Bombardment: In a parallel escalation, Russian forces fired missiles and deployed a barrage of 106 drones targeting 13 separate locations in Ukraine. The strikes killed two people in Kryvyi Rih, one in Sumy, and two in the Zaporizhzhia region, while setting fire to a prominent book market in Kyiv. [8, 9]
NATO Jet Interception: The conflict briefly crossed into eastern Europe early Sunday morning when a Spanish F-18 fighter jet, flying on a NATO mission, shot down a stray drone that breached Romanian airspace from Moldova near the Ukrainian border. [10]

Ukraine has progressively expanded its long-range strategy to target Russian economic, infrastructure, and retail distribution centers, stating these operations are essential responses to continuous Russian bombardment. [11, 12]

Review of Articles

Frustration with Trump grows among U.S.’s Persian Gulf allies, officials say

Sunday August 16th, 2026 at 7:42 AM

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Frustration with Washington is growing in the Persian Gulf region, where U.S. allies are increasingly concerned that President Donald Trump is unable to manage the diplomacy necessary to secure peace with Iran, Arab and Western officials say.

Trump in recent weeks has repeatedly issued threats against Iran, only to withdraw them, citing progress in talks. After months of conflict, and continuing missile and drone strikes by Iran and its proxies, three officials and a former U.S. diplomat told The Washington Post, the governments of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain are now united in their aggravation with the administration. Some have begun to debate the utility of continuing to host large U.S. military installations on their territory.

“Trump started this war,” one Gulf official said, “and we are paying the price.” Like others in this article, he spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive subject. Anger with the United States, the official said, was at its highest point since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran in February.

The Gulf states continue to rely on Washington as a close security partner and major arms supplier, and Qatar and Bahrain host large U.S. bases. But the frustration is leading some states to consider new arrangements. These dynamics are unlikely in the near term to significantly reorder the region, analysts say, but some countries have begun to explore their options.

A mutual defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan last week was “a signal to the U.S.,” a senior European official said.

The pact shows the three powerful Sunni Muslim states “are trying to diversify their security and defense partnerships,” said the official, who is in regular contact with Gulf leaders. “In their mind, the U.S. is not enough.”

A White House official said Trump “has extraordinary relationships with all of our Gulf partners.”

“The United States has been in regular contact with all of our regional allies since before Operation Epic Fury,” said the official, speaking on the condition of anonymity under rules set by the White House. “Iran is more isolated than ever before as a result of its terrorist actions.”

Representatives of the Saudi, Emirati, Qatari, Kuwaiti and Bahraini governments did not respond to requests for comment.

“There has been frustration from the get-go,” said Firas Maksad, director for the Middle East and North Africa practice at the Eurasia Group. U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf, he said, feel they were “unnecessarily entangled” in a war that Trump is now struggling to resolve.

Maksad, who has extensive contacts within Gulf leadership, said Trump’s Iran policy is often described in the region as “erratic” and “unpredictable.”

Anna Jacobs, a fellow with the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington, said there has been “diminished trust” of the U.S. since the start of the war. U.S. allies think the country’s “conduct in the region is making them less safe, not more safe,” she said.

One Western diplomat in the region said these changes don’t amount to a significant shift in sentiment toward the United States. Even before the war with Iran, he said, U.S. forces in the region were not “enthusiastically” welcomed. “It was more something that was a necessary evil,” the diplomat said. “Now, the necessity of it is being put in question.”

Saudi Arabia has come under particular pressure in recent weeks. In addition to attacks from Iran and Iran-backed groups in Iraq, the kingdom has been targeted by Iranian-aligned Houthis in Yemen.

Houthi forces have repeatedly struck Saudi energy infrastructure and are attempting to shut down the Bab al-Mandab strait at the mouth of the Red Sea. Since Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz in the early days of the war, Saudi Arabia has depended on its Red Sea ports to export its oil.

Attitudes toward the war among Gulf leaders have shifted. Oman has opposed the conflict from the outset, but Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain have at times backed it.

Emirati forces have conducted “numerous” strikes on Iranian territory in recent months, according to the Western diplomat, and Saudi forces have struck back at Iranian-backed groups attacking from Iraq.

“At the beginning of the war, they were — I don’t want to say, supportive — but honestly, they were not totally against the war,” the senior European official said. The thinking in Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, he said, was that a quick, definitive victory could prove beneficial.

That began to shift in the lead-up to the first round of talks between Iran and the United States in April, the official said, when it became clear that not only would the Iranian regime not fall, but it would not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

In the months since, Trump’s inconsistency has alarmed the Gulf, said Bader Al-Saif, an assistant professor of history at Kuwait University.

“Even before all this back and forth with Trump, there was no clear strategy,” said Al-Saif, a fellow of the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington. He cited the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran in June.

“The MOU was a joke,” he said. The agreement didn’t address the Gulf states’ top concerns, including Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal or Tehran’s support for proxy forces.

“Those terms were not terms of our liking,” Al-Saif said, “and that’s why it died out sooner than later.”

Trump, the White House official said, “has always been clear that his preference is diplomacy.

“Unfortunately, Iran chose the path of violence by killing American troops, committing international acts of terrorism, and lashing out at its neighbors in the region — and the Commander-in-Chief ensured that they reaped the consequences of those decisions.”

The Gulf states lack an immediately viable alternative to their decades-long security partnerships with the United States. As the conflict continues, the Gulf official said, their only choice is to double down on their alliances with Washington.

“Whatever we do,” he said, “we cannot say no to the United States.”

Douglas Silliman, a U.S. ambassador to Kuwait and Iraq under President Barack Obama and Trump, said he heard frustration with Washington on a recent visit to the region. But in recent weeks, he said, he is also hearing growing anger at Tehran for its continued attacks on infrastructure and refusal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Silliman, now the president of the Arab Gulf States Institute, described the feeling in the region as “kind of this odd contradiction of being mad at the United States for starting the war and being dependent upon the United States” for equipment, munitions and intelligence.

If the conflict continues, the economic pressure on the Gulf will grow. Even during peacetime, the region quiets over the summer, tourism slows and residents hole up indoors to escape 100-degree days.

But in autumn, temperatures fall and activity resumes. This year, the conferences, summits, festivals and Formula One races that pack the calendar from October through December are all in limbo.

Saudi Arabia’s 10th annual Future Investment Initiative Institute in late October, the “Davos in the Desert,” could be an early test of whether senior officials and top CEOs are willing to visit the region, the Western diplomat said.

“They may tweak the theme” to acknowledge continued insecurity in the region, he said. “To postpone would send the wrong message.”

Iran continues to launch drones and missiles against Kuwait, but in the capital, much of life has returned to normal, Al-Saif said. “We have been through worse,” he said, referring to the 1990 invasion by Iraq that triggered the Persian Gulf War. “We handled the occupation. We can handle this.”

The security lockdown from the war’s earlier stage has been largely lifted. Businesses are open, traffic has returned to city streets and Al-Saif has resumed teaching in person. But the conflict, he said, must not continue much longer.

“A quick end is obviously something we want,” he said. “The Gulf War was much more straightforward than today.”

Read the whole story · · · · · ·

Putin Gets Chilling ‘Revolution’ Warning From One of His Own

Sunday August 16th, 2026 at 7:16 AM

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A Russian state bank official has warned that the country is headed for a “social crisis.”

Russian Propaganda Stars Admit Scale of Putin’s Problems

Ukraine launches one of its largest aerial attacks of the war, killing at least 6 people in Russia

Sunday August 16th, 2026 at 7:10 AM

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Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv’s largest aerial attacks of the war.

Kyiv has stepped up its attacks on Russia this year, with long-range missiles and swarms of drones increasingly targeting military industries and energy facilities. It has also increasingly pummeled giant Wildberries depots, burning billions of dollars’ worth of merchandise belonging to the Russian online retail giant and bringing the war home to the Russian public nearly 4½ years into Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Russia’s Ministry of Defense said that it had destroyed 822 Ukrainian drones overnight. Some 600 drones were detected headed toward the Russian capital, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said, with a third of those destroyed over the Moscow region itself.

An 83-year-old man was killed after a Ukrainian drone hit a private home in the Moscow region, local Gov. Andrey Vorobyov said. He also confirmed that a Ukrainian attack had sparked a blaze at a Wildberries warehouse in the town of Podolsk.

A drone attack targeted three towns in Russia’s southwestern Rostov region, killing five people, local Gov. Yury Slyusar said. The attack, with more than 150 drones, damaged several homes and a railway station and sparked a forest fire.

Russian strikes kill 5 in Ukraine

A Russian missile attack on Ukraine’s Kryvyi Rih killed two people and wounded 14 others, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wrote on social media Sunday. He also said that one more person had been killed in the city of Sumy.

Elsewhere, a man and a woman both died when their home was hit by a Russian strike in Ukraine’s southern Zaporizhzhia region, said Ivan Fedorov, the head of the local military administration.

More attacks sparked fires throughout the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, wounding six people.

“Wherever the Russians can reach with their ballistic missiles, they strike civilian infrastructure,” Zelenskyy said. “Since this morning, air raid alerts have continued in many regions — the Russians launched another wave of drones.”

Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Sunday that it had targeted a metallurgical plant in Kryvyi Rih and several military-industrial sites in Kyiv, including a manufacturing facility for Ukraine’s Flamingo missiles.

The domestically produced missiles are increasingly key to Ukraine’s long-range attacks on Russia, with Zelenskyy announcing Saturday that Kyiv had used the weapons to attack a rocket research and production center in Samara approximately 900 kilometers (560 miles) from the Ukrainian border.

NATO jet downs drone in Romanian airspace

Romania’s Ministry of National Defense said Sunday that a Spanish Air and Space Force F-18 fighter jet shot down a drone that had entered Romanian airspace.

The drone’s entry into the NATO member’s airspace was detected by surveillance systems at 4:44 a.m., the ministry said, about 24 kilometers (14.9 miles) north of the eastern city of Galati near the border with neighboring Moldova. Moldova is a landlocked country between Ukraine and Romania.

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A Spanish F-18 aircraft that was performing air policing duties “made radar contact with the target and received engagement approval,” the ministry said. “The drone was safely shot down by the F-18 aircraft at 05:01.”

Officials did not specify the drone’s origin.

The incident comes weeks after Romanian pilots shot down the three drones over three days from F-16 fighter jets, as Russia intensified attacks against Ukraine near the border. Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Romania has reported dozens of drone incidents, including some that have crashed and exploded on its territory.

Acting Foreign Minister Oana Toiu said in a post on X that the Spanish deployment in Romania was scaled up “at the request of Romania and NATO to bolster the Eastern Flank following prior drone incidents,” and that it was Spain’s fourth such deployment.

___

Follow the AP’s coverage of the war in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

Read the whole story · · ·

Five wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, suspect arrested

Sunday August 16th, 2026 at 7:02 AM

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According to police, the suspect is not a student at the university, nor were four of the five injured.

A 19-year-old has been arrested in connection with a shooting on a Virginia university campus that wounded five people, one critically.

Police arrested Camron Harris of Henrico, Virginia, on Saturday after finding the suspect hiding in a dormitory closet.

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According to Chesterfield County Police, Harris is not a student at the university, nor were four of the five injured.

The shooting, just after 1:30am (5:30 GMT) on Saturday, triggered an hours-long campus-wide lockdown. The university lifted the lockdown hours later, at 8:21am (12:21 GMT).

All five of the wounded were taken to hospital, including one in critical condition, according to the university.

Authorities said the victims ranged in age from 17 to 23. One of them, a 20-year-old student, has since been released from the hospital.

The names of those wounded have not been released.

Police obtained eight felony warrants against Harris, including for malicious wounding and use of a firearm in the commission of a felony.

The authorities have not disclosed a possible motive.

Arthur Fridrich, the university’s former director of distance education, said: “For those that were shot, my heart bleeds. I hope that they all mend and somehow do not let this event define their lives.”

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The university said in an earlier statement that authorities were searching for multiple suspects, but police gave no additional information.

The shooting happened two days before the university’s autumn semester is due to start.

Virginia State University is a historically Black university in Ettrick, about 39 kilometres (24 miles) south of the state capital of Richmond.

It has about 5,700 students and was the first fully state-supported four-year college for Black Americans.

Gun violence at colleges and universities in the US is relatively common. The Gun Violence Archive, a national tracker, recorded 75 shootings at higher education institutions in 2025, with a total of 100 victims.

One of the most high-profile attacks in recent years was in Virginia, when a gunman fatally shot 32 people and wounded 17 at Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, also known as Virginia Tech, in 2007.

Earlier this year, a man opened fire at a Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (ROTC) group at Old Dominion University, in Norfolk, Virginia, killing an instructor and wounding two others.

In a statement on social media, Governor Abigail Spanberger said she and her husband were “praying for a quick recovery for those who were shot this morning at Virginia State University, and our thoughts are with the VSU community”.

She also thanked first responders and law enforcement.

Read the whole story · · ·

Putin loses 43K soldiers on Ukraine battlefield in one of bloodiest months since start of war

Sunday August 16th, 2026 at 2:38 AM

[Untitled]

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Russia suffered some of its most staggering losses of the war in July, while Kyiv made its largest territorial gains in more than a year, according to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry.

Moscow’s military lost 42,860 men on the battlefield last month, which includes soldiers killed and wounded, the most since January 2025 — and the fourth bloodiest month since the start of the war in 2022.

With total casualties now allegedly nearing 1.5 million and recruitment increasingly becoming an obstacle  for Russian President Vladimir Putin, the tyrant could soon be forced to engage in peace talks if he runs out of soldiers, experts have posited.

Russian President Vladimir Putin chairs a Security Council meeting in Moscow.

Putin is running out of men to send to the battlefield, with casualties nearing 1.5 million since the start of the war. ALEXANDER KAZAKOV/SPUTNIK/KREMLIN POOL/EPA/Shutterstock

Putin has become so desperate in recent months, he’s had to lure his countrymen to join the war effort with false promises of “quiet service” — or recruit Africans under similarly deceitful schemes.

An estimated 30,000 to 50,000 North Koreans troops are being prepared to be deployed in Russia, according to Ukraine. The Putin ally already sent 15,000 soldiers back in 2024.

Ukraine, meanwhile, says it has liberated close to 300 square miles along the southern front, retaking 26 settlements along the frontline and placing them back under full Ukrainian control.

Kyiv has pushed Russian troops back more than seven miles on the southern front, near the intersection of the Dnipro, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions, through small attacks to gradually erode Russian control gradually.

Overnight int the past day, Ukrainian forces fired missiles deep inside Russia — causing “significant damage” at a military airbase, an oil depot and a state-run aerospace center.

Large orange fire burning above dark tree line at dusk.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced deep strikes inside Russia Saturday. x/ZelenskyyUa

Long-range Flamingo missiles struck the Savasleyka airbase in western Russia, 435 miles from the border. It houses MIG-31 jets carrying ballistic missiles that strike Ukrainian cities and villages, but it’s not known how many jets were hit in the attack.

Explosions were also heard in Samara, where Kyiv struck the Progress Rocket Space Center, one of the key enterprises of the state-run aerospace corporation Roscosmos.

“The progress center, which was involved, among other things, in producing electronics, was hit. Flamingo missiles were used — a good achievement,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

Smoke rising from an oil facility in Ust-Luga, Russia, after a Ukrainian deep strike.

“It is important that Russia’s war potential be reduced,” Zelensky said Saturday. x/ZelenskyyUa

Workers stand in front of a residential building destroyed by a Russian airstrike in Kramatorsk, Ukraine.

Russia fired 152 Shahed drones at Ukraine over the past day. Anadolu via Getty Images

At some 560 miles from Ukraine’s border, it was Kyiv’s deepest strike into Russia of the war. Ivan Noskov, head of the Samara, called it a “massive attack.”

Kyiv also damaged an oil facility in Ust-Luga, which caught on fire, 500 miles from the border, Zelensky said.

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“It is important that Russia’s war potential be reduced,” he wrote on X. “Peace is needed, and this must be evident in Russia – through concrete damage to specific facilities.”

Ukraine fired at least seven guided bombs, 17 Flamingo cruise missiles and 1,328 drones over the past day, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

Russia responded with 152 Shahed drones, killing a 3-month-old child in Dnipro and injuring 49 others across Ukraine.

Read the whole story · · · · · · ·

Germany Beefs Up Its Intelligence Services as Threat From ‘Foreign Powers’ Rises – HSToday

Saturday August 15th, 2026 at 1:27 PM

HSToday

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Germany’s government plans to give its intelligence services broader powers for actions such as disabling sabotage and hacking attempts in response to a rising threat from powers such as Russia and extremists.

The Cabinet on Wednesday approved draft legislation meant to strengthen Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service, the BND, and its domestic intelligence service, the BfV, and reduce the reliance of the European Union’s most populous nation on tips from its allies.

The powers of Germany’s intelligence services have long lagged behind those of major European counterparts. Modern Germany has traditionally been sensitive to data protection concerns, not least because of memories of repression under the Nazis and later by communist East Germany’s secret police.

Read the rest of the story at AP News.


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Frustration with Trump grows among U.S.’s Persian Gulf allies, officials say – The Washington Post, and other articles



Frustration with Trump grows among U.S.’s Persian Gulf allies, officials say

Frustration with Washington is growing in the Persian Gulf region, where U.S. allies are increasingly concerned that President Donald Trump is unable to manage the diplomacy necessary to secure peace with Iran, Arab and Western officials say.Trump in recent weeks has repeatedly issued threats agains

Putin Gets Chilling ‘Revolution’ Warning From One of His Own

Politics A Russian state bank official has warned that the country is headed for a “social crisis.” Russian Propaganda Stars Admit Scale of Putin’s Problems0 seconds of 11 minutes, 41 secondsVolume 90%Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcutsKeyboard ShortcutsShortcuts Open/Cl
Ukraine launches one of its largest aerial attacks of the war, killing at least 6 people in Russia

Ukraine launches one of its largest aerial attacks of the war, killing at least 6 people in Russia

Ukraine has launched hundreds of drones across Russia, marking one of Kyiv’s largest aerial attacks of the war.

Ukraine launches one of its largest aerial attacks of the war, killing at least 6 people in Russia

Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv’s largest aerial attacks of the war.Kyiv has stepped up its attacks on Russia this year, with long-range missiles and swarms of drones increasingly targeting military industries and energy fa
Romania shoots down stray drones from Ukraine war in a strategy shift

Romania shoots down stray drones from Ukraine war in a strategy shift

Romania is taking a new approach to drones entering its airspace by shooting them down. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, drones have repeatedly violated Romania’s airspace.
Five wounded in shooting at Virginia State University

Five wounded in shooting at Virginia State University

Police found the gunshot victims near the university’s residence halls.

Five wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, suspect arrested

According to police, the suspect is not a student at the university, nor were four of the five injured.A 19-year-old has been arrested in connection with a shooting on a Virginia university campus that wounded five people, one critically.Police arrested Camron Harris of Henrico, Virginia, on Saturda

Putin loses 43K soldiers on Ukraine battlefield in one of bloodiest months since start of war

Russia suffered some of its most staggering losses of the war in July, while Kyiv made its largest territorial gains in more than a year, according to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry. Moscow’s military lost 42,860 men on the battlefield last month, which includes soldiers killed and wounded, the m

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Frustration with Trump grows among U.S.’s Persian Gulf allies, officials say

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Frustration with Washington is growing in the Persian Gulf region, where U.S. allies are increasingly concerned that President Donald Trump is unable to manage the diplomacy necessary to secure peace with Iran, Arab and Western officials say.

Trump in recent weeks has repeatedly issued threats against Iran, only to withdraw them, citing progress in talks. After months of conflict, and continuing missile and drone strikes by Iran and its proxies, three officials and a former U.S. diplomat told The Washington Post, the governments of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain are now united in their aggravation with the administration. Some have begun to debate the utility of continuing to host large U.S. military installations on their territory.

“Trump started this war,” one Gulf official said, “and we are paying the price.” Like others in this article, he spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive subject. Anger with the United States, the official said, was at its highest point since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran in February.

The Gulf states continue to rely on Washington as a close security partner and major arms supplier, and Qatar and Bahrain host large U.S. bases. But the frustration is leading some states to consider new arrangements. These dynamics are unlikely in the near term to significantly reorder the region, analysts say, but some countries have begun to explore their options.

A mutual defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan last week was “a signal to the U.S.,” a senior European official said.

The pact shows the three powerful Sunni Muslim states “are trying to diversify their security and defense partnerships,” said the official, who is in regular contact with Gulf leaders. “In their mind, the U.S. is not enough.”

A White House official said Trump “has extraordinary relationships with all of our Gulf partners.”

“The United States has been in regular contact with all of our regional allies since before Operation Epic Fury,” said the official, speaking on the condition of anonymity under rules set by the White House. “Iran is more isolated than ever before as a result of its terrorist actions.”

Representatives of the Saudi, Emirati, Qatari, Kuwaiti and Bahraini governments did not respond to requests for comment.

“There has been frustration from the get-go,” said Firas Maksad, director for the Middle East and North Africa practice at the Eurasia Group. U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf, he said, feel they were “unnecessarily entangled” in a war that Trump is now struggling to resolve.

Maksad, who has extensive contacts within Gulf leadership, said Trump’s Iran policy is often described in the region as “erratic” and “unpredictable.”

Anna Jacobs, a fellow with the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington, said there has been “diminished trust” of the U.S. since the start of the war. U.S. allies think the country’s “conduct in the region is making them less safe, not more safe,” she said.

One Western diplomat in the region said these changes don’t amount to a significant shift in sentiment toward the United States. Even before the war with Iran, he said, U.S. forces in the region were not “enthusiastically” welcomed. “It was more something that was a necessary evil,” the diplomat said. “Now, the necessity of it is being put in question.”

Saudi Arabia has come under particular pressure in recent weeks. In addition to attacks from Iran and Iran-backed groups in Iraq, the kingdom has been targeted by Iranian-aligned Houthis in Yemen.

Houthi forces have repeatedly struck Saudi energy infrastructure and are attempting to shut down the Bab al-Mandab strait at the mouth of the Red Sea. Since Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz in the early days of the war, Saudi Arabia has depended on its Red Sea ports to export its oil.

Attitudes toward the war among Gulf leaders have shifted. Oman has opposed the conflict from the outset, but Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain have at times backed it.

Emirati forces have conducted “numerous” strikes on Iranian territory in recent months, according to the Western diplomat, and Saudi forces have struck back at Iranian-backed groups attacking from Iraq.

“At the beginning of the war, they were — I don’t want to say, supportive — but honestly, they were not totally against the war,” the senior European official said. The thinking in Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, he said, was that a quick, definitive victory could prove beneficial.

That began to shift in the lead-up to the first round of talks between Iran and the United States in April, the official said, when it became clear that not only would the Iranian regime not fall, but it would not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

In the months since, Trump’s inconsistency has alarmed the Gulf, said Bader Al-Saif, an assistant professor of history at Kuwait University.

“Even before all this back and forth with Trump, there was no clear strategy,” said Al-Saif, a fellow of the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington. He cited the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran in June.

“The MOU was a joke,” he said. The agreement didn’t address the Gulf states’ top concerns, including Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal or Tehran’s support for proxy forces.

“Those terms were not terms of our liking,” Al-Saif said, “and that’s why it died out sooner than later.”

Trump, the White House official said, “has always been clear that his preference is diplomacy.

“Unfortunately, Iran chose the path of violence by killing American troops, committing international acts of terrorism, and lashing out at its neighbors in the region — and the Commander-in-Chief ensured that they reaped the consequences of those decisions.”

The Gulf states lack an immediately viable alternative to their decades-long security partnerships with the United States. As the conflict continues, the Gulf official said, their only choice is to double down on their alliances with Washington.

“Whatever we do,” he said, “we cannot say no to the United States.”

Douglas Silliman, a U.S. ambassador to Kuwait and Iraq under President Barack Obama and Trump, said he heard frustration with Washington on a recent visit to the region. But in recent weeks, he said, he is also hearing growing anger at Tehran for its continued attacks on infrastructure and refusal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Silliman, now the president of the Arab Gulf States Institute, described the feeling in the region as “kind of this odd contradiction of being mad at the United States for starting the war and being dependent upon the United States” for equipment, munitions and intelligence.

If the conflict continues, the economic pressure on the Gulf will grow. Even during peacetime, the region quiets over the summer, tourism slows and residents hole up indoors to escape 100-degree days.

But in autumn, temperatures fall and activity resumes. This year, the conferences, summits, festivals and Formula One races that pack the calendar from October through December are all in limbo.

Saudi Arabia’s 10th annual Future Investment Initiative Institute in late October, the “Davos in the Desert,” could be an early test of whether senior officials and top CEOs are willing to visit the region, the Western diplomat said.

“They may tweak the theme” to acknowledge continued insecurity in the region, he said. “To postpone would send the wrong message.”

Iran continues to launch drones and missiles against Kuwait, but in the capital, much of life has returned to normal, Al-Saif said. “We have been through worse,” he said, referring to the 1990 invasion by Iraq that triggered the Persian Gulf War. “We handled the occupation. We can handle this.”

The security lockdown from the war’s earlier stage has been largely lifted. Businesses are open, traffic has returned to city streets and Al-Saif has resumed teaching in person. But the conflict, he said, must not continue much longer.

“A quick end is obviously something we want,” he said. “The Gulf War was much more straightforward than today.”

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Putin Gets Chilling ‘Revolution’ Warning From One of His Own

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A Russian state bank official has warned that the country is headed for a “social crisis.”

Russian Propaganda Stars Admit Scale of Putin’s Problems

Ukraine launches one of its largest aerial attacks of the war, killing at least 6 people in Russia

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Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv’s largest aerial attacks of the war.

Kyiv has stepped up its attacks on Russia this year, with long-range missiles and swarms of drones increasingly targeting military industries and energy facilities. It has also increasingly pummeled giant Wildberries depots, burning billions of dollars’ worth of merchandise belonging to the Russian online retail giant and bringing the war home to the Russian public nearly 4½ years into Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Russia’s Ministry of Defense said that it had destroyed 822 Ukrainian drones overnight. Some 600 drones were detected headed toward the Russian capital, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said, with a third of those destroyed over the Moscow region itself.

An 83-year-old man was killed after a Ukrainian drone hit a private home in the Moscow region, local Gov. Andrey Vorobyov said. He also confirmed that a Ukrainian attack had sparked a blaze at a Wildberries warehouse in the town of Podolsk.

A drone attack targeted three towns in Russia’s southwestern Rostov region, killing five people, local Gov. Yury Slyusar said. The attack, with more than 150 drones, damaged several homes and a railway station and sparked a forest fire.

Russian strikes kill 5 in Ukraine

A Russian missile attack on Ukraine’s Kryvyi Rih killed two people and wounded 14 others, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wrote on social media Sunday. He also said that one more person had been killed in the city of Sumy.

Elsewhere, a man and a woman both died when their home was hit by a Russian strike in Ukraine’s southern Zaporizhzhia region, said Ivan Fedorov, the head of the local military administration.

More attacks sparked fires throughout the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, wounding six people.

“Wherever the Russians can reach with their ballistic missiles, they strike civilian infrastructure,” Zelenskyy said. “Since this morning, air raid alerts have continued in many regions — the Russians launched another wave of drones.”

Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Sunday that it had targeted a metallurgical plant in Kryvyi Rih and several military-industrial sites in Kyiv, including a manufacturing facility for Ukraine’s Flamingo missiles.

The domestically produced missiles are increasingly key to Ukraine’s long-range attacks on Russia, with Zelenskyy announcing Saturday that Kyiv had used the weapons to attack a rocket research and production center in Samara approximately 900 kilometers (560 miles) from the Ukrainian border.

NATO jet downs drone in Romanian airspace

Romania’s Ministry of National Defense said Sunday that a Spanish Air and Space Force F-18 fighter jet shot down a drone that had entered Romanian airspace.

The drone’s entry into the NATO member’s airspace was detected by surveillance systems at 4:44 a.m., the ministry said, about 24 kilometers (14.9 miles) north of the eastern city of Galati near the border with neighboring Moldova. Moldova is a landlocked country between Ukraine and Romania.

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A Spanish F-18 aircraft that was performing air policing duties “made radar contact with the target and received engagement approval,” the ministry said. “The drone was safely shot down by the F-18 aircraft at 05:01.”

Officials did not specify the drone’s origin.

The incident comes weeks after Romanian pilots shot down the three drones over three days from F-16 fighter jets, as Russia intensified attacks against Ukraine near the border. Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Romania has reported dozens of drone incidents, including some that have crashed and exploded on its territory.

Acting Foreign Minister Oana Toiu said in a post on X that the Spanish deployment in Romania was scaled up “at the request of Romania and NATO to bolster the Eastern Flank following prior drone incidents,” and that it was Spain’s fourth such deployment.

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Follow the AP’s coverage of the war in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

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Five wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, suspect arrested

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According to police, the suspect is not a student at the university, nor were four of the five injured.

A 19-year-old has been arrested in connection with a shooting on a Virginia university campus that wounded five people, one critically.

Police arrested Camron Harris of Henrico, Virginia, on Saturday after finding the suspect hiding in a dormitory closet.

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According to Chesterfield County Police, Harris is not a student at the university, nor were four of the five injured.

The shooting, just after 1:30am (5:30 GMT) on Saturday, triggered an hours-long campus-wide lockdown. The university lifted the lockdown hours later, at 8:21am (12:21 GMT).

All five of the wounded were taken to hospital, including one in critical condition, according to the university.

Authorities said the victims ranged in age from 17 to 23. One of them, a 20-year-old student, has since been released from the hospital.

The names of those wounded have not been released.

Police obtained eight felony warrants against Harris, including for malicious wounding and use of a firearm in the commission of a felony.

The authorities have not disclosed a possible motive.

Arthur Fridrich, the university’s former director of distance education, said: “For those that were shot, my heart bleeds. I hope that they all mend and somehow do not let this event define their lives.”

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The university said in an earlier statement that authorities were searching for multiple suspects, but police gave no additional information.

The shooting happened two days before the university’s autumn semester is due to start.

Virginia State University is a historically Black university in Ettrick, about 39 kilometres (24 miles) south of the state capital of Richmond.

It has about 5,700 students and was the first fully state-supported four-year college for Black Americans.

Gun violence at colleges and universities in the US is relatively common. The Gun Violence Archive, a national tracker, recorded 75 shootings at higher education institutions in 2025, with a total of 100 victims.

One of the most high-profile attacks in recent years was in Virginia, when a gunman fatally shot 32 people and wounded 17 at Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, also known as Virginia Tech, in 2007.

Earlier this year, a man opened fire at a Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (ROTC) group at Old Dominion University, in Norfolk, Virginia, killing an instructor and wounding two others.

In a statement on social media, Governor Abigail Spanberger said she and her husband were “praying for a quick recovery for those who were shot this morning at Virginia State University, and our thoughts are with the VSU community”.

She also thanked first responders and law enforcement.

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Putin loses 43K soldiers on Ukraine battlefield in one of bloodiest months since start of war

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Russia suffered some of its most staggering losses of the war in July, while Kyiv made its largest territorial gains in more than a year, according to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry.

Moscow’s military lost 42,860 men on the battlefield last month, which includes soldiers killed and wounded, the most since January 2025 — and the fourth bloodiest month since the start of the war in 2022.

With total casualties now allegedly nearing 1.5 million and recruitment increasingly becoming an obstacle  for Russian President Vladimir Putin, the tyrant could soon be forced to engage in peace talks if he runs out of soldiers, experts have posited.

Russian President Vladimir Putin chairs a Security Council meeting in Moscow.

Putin is running out of men to send to the battlefield, with casualties nearing 1.5 million since the start of the war. ALEXANDER KAZAKOV/SPUTNIK/KREMLIN POOL/EPA/Shutterstock

Putin has become so desperate in recent months, he’s had to lure his countrymen to join the war effort with false promises of “quiet service” — or recruit Africans under similarly deceitful schemes.

An estimated 30,000 to 50,000 North Koreans troops are being prepared to be deployed in Russia, according to Ukraine. The Putin ally already sent 15,000 soldiers back in 2024.

Ukraine, meanwhile, says it has liberated close to 300 square miles along the southern front, retaking 26 settlements along the frontline and placing them back under full Ukrainian control.

Kyiv has pushed Russian troops back more than seven miles on the southern front, near the intersection of the Dnipro, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions, through small attacks to gradually erode Russian control gradually.

Overnight int the past day, Ukrainian forces fired missiles deep inside Russia — causing “significant damage” at a military airbase, an oil depot and a state-run aerospace center.

Large orange fire burning above dark tree line at dusk.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced deep strikes inside Russia Saturday. x/ZelenskyyUa

Long-range Flamingo missiles struck the Savasleyka airbase in western Russia, 435 miles from the border. It houses MIG-31 jets carrying ballistic missiles that strike Ukrainian cities and villages, but it’s not known how many jets were hit in the attack.

Explosions were also heard in Samara, where Kyiv struck the Progress Rocket Space Center, one of the key enterprises of the state-run aerospace corporation Roscosmos.

“The progress center, which was involved, among other things, in producing electronics, was hit. Flamingo missiles were used — a good achievement,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

Smoke rising from an oil facility in Ust-Luga, Russia, after a Ukrainian deep strike.

“It is important that Russia’s war potential be reduced,” Zelensky said Saturday. x/ZelenskyyUa

Workers stand in front of a residential building destroyed by a Russian airstrike in Kramatorsk, Ukraine.

Russia fired 152 Shahed drones at Ukraine over the past day. Anadolu via Getty Images

At some 560 miles from Ukraine’s border, it was Kyiv’s deepest strike into Russia of the war. Ivan Noskov, head of the Samara, called it a “massive attack.”

Kyiv also damaged an oil facility in Ust-Luga, which caught on fire, 500 miles from the border, Zelensky said.

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“It is important that Russia’s war potential be reduced,” he wrote on X. “Peace is needed, and this must be evident in Russia – through concrete damage to specific facilities.”

Ukraine fired at least seven guided bombs, 17 Flamingo cruise missiles and 1,328 drones over the past day, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

Russia responded with 152 Shahed drones, killing a 3-month-old child in Dnipro and injuring 49 others across Ukraine.

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Germany Beefs Up Its Intelligence Services as Threat From ‘Foreign Powers’ Rises – HSToday

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Germany’s government plans to give its intelligence services broader powers for actions such as disabling sabotage and hacking attempts in response to a rising threat from powers such as Russia and extremists.

The Cabinet on Wednesday approved draft legislation meant to strengthen Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service, the BND, and its domestic intelligence service, the BfV, and reduce the reliance of the European Union’s most populous nation on tips from its allies.

The powers of Germany’s intelligence services have long lagged behind those of major European counterparts. Modern Germany has traditionally been sensitive to data protection concerns, not least because of memories of repression under the Nazis and later by communist East Germany’s secret police.

Read the rest of the story at AP News.


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A leaked internal briefing from Moscow outlines an explicit directive to systematically destabilize NATO and EU cohesion from within


Wary of Trump, Europe Seeks Role in Eventual Russia-Ukraine Talks

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French, German and British diplomats are working on a format for future negotiations — even if Russia has shown little interest.

Rescue workers at the site of a Russian strike on a residential building in Odesa, Ukraine, this week.Credit…Nina Liashonok/Reuters

Nervous about being excluded by President Trump from any talks to end the Russia-Ukraine war, three European countries are working together to make sure Europe has a seat at the table, according to five European officials.

European diplomats are working on a format for future negotiations to protect European interests that would be led by France, Germany and Britain.

France and Germany are taking the lead in developing the European position, according to two senior European diplomats and a senior European official monitoring the effort. Britain, which has a new prime minister, is more hesitant, in part because it is nervous about testing its relations with Mr. Trump, the diplomats said.

There is little indication that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia is ready for serious negotiations. The Europeans expect that any negotiation with Russia over Ukraine would be led by the United States, and as Russia is increasing its ballistic missile attacks on Ukrainian civilians, they are pushing for Mr. Trump and his envoys to re-engage with Moscow.

But a Ukraine settlement and relations with Russia are too important to Europe to be outsourced indefinitely to a Trump administration that appears increasingly unpredictable, said the officials, all of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. They want to ensure no deal is cut over their heads by Washington and Moscow.

Western officials and analysts expect the war to become more destructive as Mr. Putin presses for a winter offensive against Ukrainian lines and civilian infrastructure as Ukraine runs severely short of air defenses. Some expect Mr. Putin to order a modest if unpopular mobilization of new troops, but only after parliamentary elections in mid-September. And some even worry that Mr. Putin, feeling cornered, might try to escalate the war and test the solidarity of NATO, beyond hybrid attacks in Europe.

Mr. Putin has said that Russia must at the least obtain complete control over the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine. If the Russians cannot do that by autumn 2027, officials and analysts said, talks would be more likely. And key decisions must be made in advance.

Image

President Vladimir Putin of Russia speaking with defense ministry officials in a photo released by Russian state media this month.Credit…Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik, via Reuters

Asked for comment, the British Foreign Office said the discussion remained speculative, while an E.U. official insisted that various diplomatic efforts were complementary rather than competitive, and that a divisive discussion about representation now was not helpful.

For Europe, the stakes are enormous. Ukraine is a major security challenge, and a Russian victory there would have huge consequences. At the same time, Mr. Trump has made it clear that Ukraine is a European responsibility. Europe is already funding Ukraine’s war, and it is expected to provide security assurances to Ukraine after any settlement. President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine “wants Europe at the table,” said Alexander Gabuev, the director of the research institute Carnegie Russia.

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The 27-member European Union, which has passed 21 sets of sanctions against Russia and possesses the bulk of Russia’s frozen assets, would need to play a role. Both issues would be central to any diplomatic solution.

Britain, France and Germany believe they should be the core negotiators in support of Ukraine, three European officials said. The three countries, known as the “E3,” are the heart of the “coalition of the willing” supporting Ukraine and have drawn up options for military and security guarantees for the country after a settlement.

Poland, Italy and the Nordic countries must also be consulted and the European Union kept informed and later involved, the officials said, because some smaller countries, particularly those neighboring Russia and Ukraine, like the Baltic States and Hungary, do not fully trust Germany and France to represent their interests.

There was a flurry of meetings and debate around the issue in June as Mr. Zelensky pushed to prepare for talks with Russia and the United States.

Mr. Zelensky had reached out to Britain, France and Germany and met their leaders in London on June 7 to discuss the European role in future negotiations with Russia and to set out principles for any agreement. Four days later, the ambassadors of the three European countries had an unusual meeting in Moscow with Mikhail Y. Galuzin, a Russian deputy foreign minister who handles Ukraine.

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President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine stood outside 10 Downing Street in London with Chancellor Friedrich Merz of Germany, Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain and President Emmanuel Macron of France after the June 7 summit.Credit…Henry Nicholls/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Kaja Kallas, the E.U. foreign-policy chief, acknowledged Mr. Zelensky’s outreach to Britain, France and Germany and said that the three were respecting “European core security interests,” including sanctions relief and the unfreezing of Russian assets. It was still too early to be definitive about representation, she said, but those core interests had to be heeded.

The European Union then made some tentative steps to open channels with Russia after Mr. Zelensky asked António Costa, the president of the bloc’s intergovernmental body, the European Council, to raise Ukraine with Moscow. Mr. Costa’s chief of staff, Pedro Lourtie, spoke with Russian officials including Yuri V. Ushakov, who has been the main Russian contact for Mr. Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff, to try to open up a diplomatic channel.

“We cannot depend only on others to interpret Russian messages, and we must be able to convey directly to Russia our own messages,” Mr. Costa said after a European meeting June 19. But he conceded there were no “credible signs” from Moscow that it wanted to engage in “serious negotiations for the time being.”

In both cases, the official Russian response was dismissive, with Mr. Galuzin complaining that the three countries were “pushing Ukraine to continue the war against Russia.”

Inevitably, Mr. Costa’s outreach provoked divisions, with both France and Germany criticizing him for overreaching, Austria and Belgium supporting him, and the Baltic nations dismissing any approach to Moscow as playing into Russia’s hands.

President Emmanuel Macron of France, for his part, said that “when there are negotiations, the Europeans will have to be around the table,” and that “President Costa, within the competencies defined for him, will have a place.”

Image

“We must be able to convey directly to Russia our own messages,” António Costa, one of the European Union’s top officials, said.Credit…Damien Eagers/Reuters

Chancellor Friedrich Merz of Germany emphasized that the three nations were acting “at the express request of Ukraine.” He added: “It also makes a certain internal logic that Britain, Germany and France are working closely together here; these are major European states, and they are also the ones contributing significantly to Ukraine’s military support.”

As for who would speak for the European Union, he said, “We will decide that when talks take place.”

Given Mr. Putin’s lack of interest, Europeans are engaged in wishful thinking, said Norbert Röttgen, a German legislator and security expert. “At some point Europe must be there, because European security is at stake and is no longer seen by Washington as a vital American interest,” he said.

“But for now,” Mr. Röttgen continued, “Putin sees an advantage in trying to divide the West and handle Europe through Washington.”

Others see a European approach to Russia as long overdue. The stakes are so high that Europe’s lack of direct channels to Russia since it invaded Ukraine in 2022 “is almost a criminal dereliction of duty,” said Mark Leonard, director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, a research institute.

Hans-Dieter Lucas, a former German diplomat who has served as ambassador to NATO, France and Italy, said that there were lessons from the multinational talks with Iran over the 2015 nuclear deal, which he helped to negotiate.

“We cannot be behind the curve as we were” in November 2025, when Mr. Trump and Mr. Witkoff came up with their initial 28-point “peace plan” with Moscow, he said. “The Europeans have cards, but we need to play them smartly.”

Still, Mr. Lucas said, “We will need very close cooperation and coordination with the United States — otherwise the Russians drive wedges between us.” And here, he added, “We are back to the fundamental question of Mr. Trump and the trans-Atlantic relationship.”

Jeanna Smialek contributed reporting from Brussels.

Steven Erlanger is the chief diplomatic correspondent in Europe and is based in Berlin. He has reported from over 120 countries, including Thailand, France, Israel, Germany and the former Soviet Union.

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