Day: March 27, 2024

If Russia makes the decision to attack a NATO country, they’ll have already made the decision to launch missile strikes against our civilian infrastructure as they are in Ukraine. We are not yet fully ready for that, so we better help Ukraine now. @UnHerd https://t.co/YkZC3gQ7rS

— Ben Hodges (@general_ben) March 27, 2024

Mayday call from cargo ship which collided with Key Bridge in Baltimore, gave just enough time for traffic to be stopped on the bridge so no cars crashed into the river. https://t.co/dKxYzb8ORX

— KT “Special CIA Operation” (@KremlinTrolls) March 27, 2024

US policy in West Africa has yet to deliver results. In December 2023, the DoD announced to the House Foreign Affairs Committee a two-phase plan of action in response to growing instability across the Sahel. Given the increasing encroachment of Russian influence through the Africa Corps and bilateral agreements in the region, the US has opted to court West African states as a means to prevent the flow of instability and waning Western influence. However, such efforts have yet to show any meaningful change on the continent or within US interests. 

Key Judgement 1. It is likely that the US will prioritise bilateral agreements with coastal West African states over the next 12 months to increase US influence and regional security among democratic governments.

Key Judgement 2. It is likely that the US will attempt to relocate their ISR assets to West Africa over the next 12 months as Niger expands bilateral relations with Russia.

Key Judgement 3. Nigeria’s human rights record will likely prevent the US from supplying major arms to the military over the next 12 months.